NFL 2024 Season - Week 18
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 18
Hollow Revenge
To Win or Not to Win
Week 17
All Knowing
Complicated Made Simple
Advanced Calculus
Glow Dimmed
Brink of Elimination
Game of Survival
Pleading for the Fifth
Need over Nothing
Christmas Grinch
Week 16
Numbers, Numbers, Numbers
Vintage 2018
Penix Debut
Dog Day
Playoff Position
Rest of the Story
Different Sundays
Run Some Tests
Without and With
Week 15
Two Tonight
Playoff Chances
Wild Card Challenge
Best of the Best
Next
Dire Straits
And It's Good
Bloated Lines
Week 14
Running up the Score
Challenge Me
Finding Reasons to Win
Crab Feed
Week Off
Good Enough
Buyers Regret
Pulled the Rug
Week 13
Mile High Hopes
Top and Bottom
Fourth Time the Charm
Bounce Back
Engage Spark
Line Up
Out in the Cold
Thanksgiving Visitors
Good Enough
Motivation on Steroids
Week 12
Second Best
Heavyweight Bout
QB's Ins and Outs
Everybody In
Too Easy
Walk the Plank
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
All Knowing
by Dennis Ranahan

Tonight, the Detroit Lions visit Levi’s Stadium in a game those in the know will tell you means nothing. The San Francisco 49ers are playing out the string of a most difficult campaign in defense of their National Football Conference title and Super Bowl loss. The Lions will have the first or fifth seed in the NFC playoffs this year whether they win or lose tonight depending on what they do next week in their season finale against the Minnesota Vikings.

Those in the know, don’t know Dan Campbell.

The head coach of the Lions has a mindset like a murderer who kicks his dead victim leaving the crime scene. In the spirit of one-time head coach Jimmy Johnson, who as mentor of the Dallas Cowboys never thought a 31-3 lead didn’t look better at 38-3, Campbell does not have a let up on the accelerator in his makeup.

The Lions also have a score to settle with the 49ers. The Lions have done very well against the point spread in recent years against the 49ers, Kyle Shanahan is 3-0 straight-up but 0-3 versus the line in contests against Detroit. This is his third meeting with Campbell and Shanahan meeting as opposing head coaches, and among Campbell’s two point spread wins but losses on the scoreboard to Shanahan was last year’s NFC Championship Game.

In that contest, the Lions built up a double-digit lead only to have the more experienced playoff savvy 49ers run them down and come away with a narrow victory and date against the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII.

Since that loss last January, the Lions have perhaps been the best team in football. They won a franchise record eleven straight games this season and have had a perch atop their division since they beat the Minnesota Vikings in October. That game was the Vikings first of only two losses they have suffered this season.

That is what makes this division race in the NFC North so intriguing. The two teams with the best records in the conference are battling each other for the title. The division winner will get the top seed in the upcoming playoffs, the loser will drop to the fifth seed and open the postseason on the road. It is the first time in NFL history that a Wild Card team will have a won/loss record as good as either the Vikings or Lions will have when they open the playoffs in two weeks. If the Lions win tonight, the Wild Card field will include a team with 14 wins. Even if the Lions lose tonight and again next week to the Vikings, they would be the first Wild Card team with as many as 13 wins.

My mother was a schoolteacher. She opened each year while posing this question to her class, “Do they have a fourth of July in England?”

A discussion would ensue where the kids who thought they were most in the know would claim that the Fourth of July was an American holiday to mark the birth of our country. They didn’t have that in England.

“So, in England,” my mom would then say as if it was a question, “They go right from the third to the fifth of July?”

When put that way, the idea that the fourth of July brought up something more than just a date, had the kids not only smile with that realization but ushered in the beginning of thinking without making false assumptions.

Like tonight, where some in the know will think this game doesn’t mean anything to the Lions, missing the more basic point, the Lions like to win.

Qoxhi Picks: Detroit Lions (-3½) over San Francisco 49ers