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The Kansas Jayhawks versus the Gonzaga University Bulldogs.

If the NCAA would have been able to stage their basketball tournament, those are the teams I anticipated would have met in the Championship Game to complete March Madness on the first Monday in April.. Since the Super Bowl was completed on February 2nd, I had been working the numbers on college basketball to get ready for the tournament.

Before the NFL season began last August, the two teams we first thought would advance to Super Bowl LIV were the New Orleans Saints and Kansas City Chiefs. As it turned out, we had the Chiefs over the San Francisco 49ers after all the games were played except for one. Whether we would really have gotten a Kansas/Gonzaga final is highly debatable, last year I had Michigan State as the projected winner before the tournament started, they didn’t win. But the year before we did have the winner, Villanova, as our pick before the tournament tipped off and they did beat Michigan for the title.

What is much more important than picking the ultimate winner before the tournament or season begins, is how the tournament or season produces point spread results leading up to the final game. Two years ago we may have had the ultimate champion, but last year we had a slightly better record in all the games we delivered against the point spread.

An additional spike in results for 2019 was boosted by the introduction of a wager strategy called Triple Play. The method dictates an amount equal to 2% of an opening account balance wagered on both the first half and final score in college basketball games. Three wagers on NBA Playoff Games and NFL teams; first quarter, halftime and final.

The strategy takes advantage of our ability to identify wagering situations that are enhanced by motivational factors. Often, in both basketball and football, a team with less skill, but a motivational edge, will jump to an early lead. Often the team with the better overall talent will win the game in the end, sometimes by enough of a margin to cover the point spread. That is the magic with the Triple Play, sometimes a game that loses on the final score, has already locked up a profit with wins in the first quarter and halftime.

The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs complete the 100th season of the National Football League today when they square off in Super Bowl LIV. The weather for today’s game is Miami nice, and the teams are both healthy. What we have here are two quality teams from quality organizations that have stocked their squads with high character men as well as talented athletes.

One of the least effective ways to handicap a Super Bowl is to identify a player or two that you think is going to make all the difference. Both teams have star quality athletes playing at the top of their game. It could be Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle or a stable of other stars on the 49ers side that could prove to be the one that is credited with making the biggest difference.

If the Chiefs are to win, perhaps it will be Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill or one of their other stars that is hailed as the key to today’s victory.

In truth, both teams have athletes on both sides of the ball capable of carrying the day and gleaming with star quality. But to pick a player before the game is pure folly, but recognizing that the player or players credited most will consistently be on the team that comes into the game with the motivational edge can serve the quest for a point spread win.

While both teams want to win this game equally, one of them could prove to have the edge that seems to get them to loose balls just a split second quicker and break tackles on the way to a score. It is an edge that can’t be sparked by a coach's pep talk, but one that comes from a real healthy fear of an opponent.

The 49ers defense, a unit that dominated early in the season, allowing only 77 points through their first seven games, endured injuries and motivation situations that had them play no more than average for two months. Then, as the drive to the number one seed in the National Football Conference took shape, San Francisco got healthy again and it has been their defense most responsible for them advancing to today’s Super Bowl.