NFL 2022 Season - Pre2

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Money Talks

For the first 20 years I offered the Qoxhi Picks service to clients, I was perhaps missing the most important aspect of them making money while wagering on sports … money management. I naively thought that providing winning selections was enough to ensure clients generated bottom line profits. In fact, there was a much more influential aspect of the business dictating end of the season profit and loss statements … how much clients wagered on the selections.

Perhaps, we should substitute the word “clients” for the more common participants in the Qoxhi service, “Gamblers.”

The books love gamblers. This is the group that often risk more on games after a series of wins and pull back on wager amounts when their bets suffer a string of losses. Both those tendencies consistently erode bottom line margins. Wager amounts need to always be tied to the value of the elements of the upcoming game and require a discipline that adds consistency to the amount risked on any single contest.

In 2001, Qoxhi introduced the Account Manager online. No single tool in sports wagering is more important to shifting this activity from entertainment to business. With a simple click on the selected games the Account Manager shows the exact amount to be wagered in alignment with a client's declared opening account balance, selected money management strategy and past results.

The Account Manager is designed to weed out the common gambling tendencies that the books thrive on. It provides subscribers the opportunity to join an elite group of point spread players that actually earn bottom line profits over the course of an NFL season.

There are five different money management strategies offered on the Qoxhi Picks site. Every pick released by Qoxhi has a money management number. Most selections are rated “4”, which dictates a wager amount of four percent of either the opening account balance or current account balance plus the cost of the wager, the vig, which is commonly 10% of the wager amount.

The Basic strategy dictates all wager amounts in alignment with the opening account balance, while the aggressive styles of wagering base wager amounts on the current account balance. When the current balance is above the opening amount, the wagers increase accordingly.

In a typical season, the Basic strategy will generate a profit margin of between 30 and 60 percent, while higher gains can be realized with the four other methods that adjust the risk versus return ratios.

Here are the results for each money management strategy for the 2021 NFL season:
Top Pick Double
Top Pick Aggressive
Top Pick Exclusive


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-160 New York Giants -3  23
+140 New England Patriots 35  21
+155 Tennessee Titans 32½  10
-180 Baltimore Ravens -3  23
+115 Atlanta Falcons 35½  27
-135 Detroit Lions -2½  23
+125 Cleveland Browns 36½  24
-145 Jacksonville Jaguars -2½  13
-115 New York Jets -1  24
-105 Philadelphia Eagles 36  21
+110 Arizona Cardinals 31  36
-130 Cincinnati Bengals -1½  23
+125 Green Bay Packers 35½  21
-145 San Francisco 49ers -2½  28
-125 Kansas City Chiefs -1½  14
+105 Chicago Bears 38  19
-125 Carolina Panthers 36½  23
-145 Washington Commanders -3  21
-110 Indianapolis Colts pk  24
-110 Buffalo Bills 37  27
+105 Seattle Seahawks 38  25
-125 Pittsburgh Steelers -2  32
-110 Miami Dolphins 32½  26
-110 Tampa Bay Buccaneers pk  24
+120 New Orleans Saints 36½  13
-140 Houston Texans -2½  17
+175 Dallas Cowboys 33½  7
-205 Denver Broncos -5  17
+135 Los Angeles Rams 32½  29
-155 Los Angeles Chargers -3  22
+160 Minnesota Vikings 36  
-185 Las Vegas Raiders -4  

Last Updated: 8/13/2022 3:44:02 PM