NFL 2025 Season - PS1
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Article Archive

Wild Card Weekend
Talent Gap
Rested and Ready
Playoff Revenge
Beep-Beep-Beep
Week 18
Both Right
Final Scramble
Unraveling the South
Win and Hope
Wasted Prayers
Long Odds
Last Punch
No Way Out
Week 17
Rams for the Future
Top Seed Grab
Better Make Sure
Dream Buster
One for the Road
Complicated Conclusion
Three for Christmas
Topped Out
Right Again
Week 16
First of Three
Surprises
December Battles
New York, New York
Two for Two
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Different Skill Set
by Dennis Ranahan

Training for pilots includes at least 1,500 hours of flight time before they qualify to become a pilot. Not all co-pilots go on to become pilots and fewer still reach the level of captain. But, the process is in place and co-pilots who become pilots better have a lot better record than assistant coaches who become head coaches in the NFL. If they don’t, we are going to have a lot of wreckage to clear off hillsides.

One might think that a person who is skilled at putting together a defensive or offensive game plan as an assistant would be a perfect candidate to take over as a head coach. Turns out, a different skill set is required for the two jobs, head coach and assistant coach.

A number of great assistant coaches that won Super Bowls that earned them a head coaching position with another team have failed like a lifeguard who can’t swim. When I was with the Oakland Raiders in the 1970’s, Don Shula was leading the Miami Dolphins to back-to-back Super Bowl wins and had a coaching staff that was the envy of the league.

But, when two of those excellent assistants got a shot to be a head coach, they crashed like the Hindenburg. Bill Arnsparger was the architect of the no-name defense that didn’t allow the Washington Redskins to score in Super Bowl VI to complete the only perfect season in NFL history. The final score in that Super Bowl win for Miami was 14-7, but the Redskins touchdown came on an ill-advised pass attempt from kicker Garo Yepremian.

In 1974, Arnsparger was named head coach of the New York Giants, and fired seven games into the 1976 season after winning only seven of 35 decisions.

On the other side of the ball during the Dolphins perfect 1972 campaign, was offensive line coach Monte Clark. He designed the path that led to a trio of runningbacks to slice through opponent defenses, namely Larry Csonka, Jim Kiick and Mercury Morris. But his success as an assistant didn’t translate to success as a head coach. Clark was hired by the San Francisco 49ers in 1976, but after one season was let go and he later served the same role with the Detroit Lions. In six seasons with Detroit, Clark compiled a head coaching record that had 20 more losses than wins.

The Dallas Cowboys won three Super Bowls in a four year span and when their quarterback of those teams, Troy Aikman, was enshrined in the Hall of Fame he had his offensive coordinator from his first two Super Bowl victories, Norv Turner, present him at his induction. It was an honor for his coach and an acknowledgment of the skill Turner mastered as an assistant and offensive coordinator.

But, put Turner in as a head coach, and the results go south.

His first head coaching position was with the Washington Redskins, where he compiled a 50-60-1 record before being fired after 13 games in 2000. He spent two seasons, 2004-05, with the Oakland Raiders and compiled a horrible 9 wins and 23 losses. The third was almost the charm for Turner, as he next spent six seasons as head coach of the San Diego Chargers where he had a winning record of 59-43, but never cracked the Super Bowl field.

Assistants that did crack the Super Bowl field and win multiple rings as members of Bill Belichick’s staff in New England, couldn’t take that success with them when they were hired as head coaches. That list includes Charlie Weiss, Romeo Crennel, Eric Mangini, Matt Patricia and current Las Vegas Head Coach Josh McDaniels.

As an offensive coordinator with the Patriots, McDaniels was a six time Super Bowl winner and considered a key to their success. But as a head coach, not so much. His first opportunity was with the Denver Broncos in 2009, and after winning only 11 of 28 decisions he was let go after a dozen games in 2010. Back with the Patriots as an assistant, more successes for McDaniels as an assistant, so he got another shot at a head coaching position this year when Mark Davis hired him to mentor the Raiders.

How is that going?

Not good.

Last year, the Raiders were in the playoff field, this year, they are in last place in the AFC West Division with only two wins in eight games. They have lost all five of their road games while winning two of three on their home field.

This week, they are home and favored over the Indianapolis Colts, who have more problems than a fireman without water.

The Raiders are the kind of team that can take out their frustrations of an overmatched opponent and fail against worthy competition. I don’t think McDaniels is long for his status as a head coach, and I’m glad he won’t be the pilot on my next airline flight, but against the Colts this week at home he gets a rare victory.

Qoxhi Picks: Las Vegas Raiders (-4½) over Indianapolis Colts