NFL 2024 Season - Week 18
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 18
Hollow Revenge
To Win or Not to Win
Week 17
All Knowing
Complicated Made Simple
Advanced Calculus
Glow Dimmed
Brink of Elimination
Game of Survival
Pleading for the Fifth
Need over Nothing
Christmas Grinch
Week 16
Numbers, Numbers, Numbers
Vintage 2018
Penix Debut
Dog Day
Playoff Position
Rest of the Story
Different Sundays
Run Some Tests
Without and With
Week 15
Two Tonight
Playoff Chances
Wild Card Challenge
Best of the Best
Next
Dire Straits
And It's Good
Bloated Lines
Week 14
Running up the Score
Challenge Me
Finding Reasons to Win
Crab Feed
Week Off
Good Enough
Buyers Regret
Pulled the Rug
Week 13
Mile High Hopes
Top and Bottom
Fourth Time the Charm
Bounce Back
Engage Spark
Line Up
Out in the Cold
Thanksgiving Visitors
Good Enough
Motivation on Steroids
Week 12
Second Best
Heavyweight Bout
QB's Ins and Outs
Everybody In
Too Easy
Walk the Plank
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
Complicated Made Simple
by Dennis Ranahan

The National Football League playoff scenarios can be daunting in their possibilities. We are still waiting to see if enough of the right teams win for the Los Angeles Rams today to have their victory last night clinch the NFC West Division title for them. They needed four of six teams to win, or at least three win if one tied, to eliminate the Seattle Seahawks.

How can that be?

Don’t ask. Just know it’s true.

By the way, two of the six teams have already won on the Rams hit list, that includes the Cincinnati Bengals yesterday and the Buffalo Bills earlier today. Now they are rooting for the Cleveland Browns, Minnesota Vikings and Washington Commanders today and tonight. If two of them don’t win, they can still clinch if the San Francisco 49ers upset the Detroit Lions tomorrow night.

I know I told you not to ask, but I was still compelled to tell you what without a longer explanation in why and how.

Now for simpler stuff.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers blew out the Carolina Panthers today giving them the edge in their NFC South Division race against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons beat the Panthers twice this season in head-to-head games so for the Buccaneers to win the division they have to do it in games won. Their victory today gives them one more victory than the Falcons, nine to eight, and tonight the Falcons will look to recapture the tiebreaker edge with a triumph in Washington over the Commanders.

The Commanders have something to play for too.

They are on the cusp of a playoff berth and would need to lose tonight and next week to miss a postseason date. Washington closes out their regular season against the Dallas Cowboys at FedEx Field. If the Commanders do lose tonight, don’t you know the Cowboys, who got blown out today by the Philadelphia Eagles, would love to cap their disappointing season with a spear in the side of the Commanders playoff hopes.

Yep, more drama next week for sure. That includes the Denver Broncos, who after losing their last two games need a win next week, or Cincinnati Bengals loss, to earn a postseason berth. Who are the Broncos playing next Sunday?

The Kansas City Chiefs.

Sounds difficult?

It’s not.

If the Chiefs needed the game, it could be, but Kansas City locked down the top seed for the American Football Conference playoffs with their Christmas Day win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. With nothing to play for, Patrick Mahomes and company are likely not going to have what it takes to prevent Sean Payton’s squad from winning a playoff date.

Still, this is the Chiefs, and they are a team that breaks more rules and barriers than any squad in the NFL and are now looking to win a record setting third straight Super Bowl.

Okay, from all this confusion, let’s make one thing simple. The Falcons need this game tonight more than the Commanders in pursuit of a playoff berth. Washington is also coming off their dramatic win last week over the Philadelphia Eagles which is almost certain to have them experience a flat effort tonight.

Simple.

Finally, something simple.

Qoxhi Picks: Atlanta Falcons (+3½) over Washington Commanders