NFL 2025 Season - Week 11
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 11
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Uptick
by Dennis Ranahan

Enthusiasm in sports can peak right before it is doused like a wet army blanket on a burning match. One moment anticipation of something great, and the next moment despair over the result.

Think of it this way, the crowd is on their feet at a Major League Baseball game with the home team trailing by a run, the bases loaded, and a 3 and 2 count on the batter with two outs. The next pitch has the crowd cheering louder than it has all game, and a moment later, when the batter swings and misses, they’re slumping in their seats in misery.

Well, the San Francisco fans haven’t lost all hope, but the faithful have had their enthusiasm for the San Francisco 49ers 2021 team severely fade based on two straight losses and three weeks of uninspired play. Last week, in a loss to division rival Seattle at Levi’s Stadium, starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo went down with an injury that brought rookie quarterback Trey Lance into the battle.

For the 49ers, it is a battle against both opponents and injuries. Last season, no team in recent memory suffered more season crippling injuries than the 49ers. This year, they were hoping to avoid injuries and allow Garoppolo a full season without being sidelined. Last time he did that, he guided the 49ers to the Super Bowl.

But, on each side of that Super Bowl LV appearance, Garoppolo has missed extended time and the 49ers results have suffered. Now he is hurt again.

Have we seen this before?

With back-to-back losses at home, the 49ers are now forced on the road to play the NFC West Division leading Arizona Cardinals. The Kyler Murray Cardinals are the league’s only undefeated team, winning their fourth straight contest last Sunday in Los Angeles over the Rams.

The enthusiasm in Arizona over the Cardinals is the polar opposite of what it is in San Francisco. In the City, fans are fearful that another injury to Garoppolo will force an early move to Lance, and the rookie is likely not ready to lead the team to a Super Bowl. With those low expectations, a win this week against the undefeated Cardinals on their home field seems unlikely.

Two weeks ago, when the 49ers and Cardinals were both 2-0 in the NFC West standings, the point spread on this game would have been the Cardinals by four points. Due to the 49ers problems the past couple weeks and the Cardinals successes, the line on Sunday’s game is 5½ points. Factors that most often drive results from a motivational spot are favoring the 49ers, and those very factors are getting us more points on the spread.

It’s a beautiful thing.

I’m betting Garoppolo returns this week, plays the best game of his career, and the 49ers are reinvigorated about the 2021 season with a division-tightening road win. Ending the Cardinals unbeaten streak at four games.

What has happened during the first four weeks of the National Football League season is less likely to repeat than it is to respond to the motivational factors governing results.

The 49ers come in looking at the real possibility of falling three games behind the Cardinals in their division race. A division that is also home to the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks. Lofty competition.

The Cardinals can surely see how a victory here would go a long way to eventually winning the division, while the 49ers are faced with the early season prospect of being dropped to the cellar in the talented NFC West.

Enthusiasm in the Bay Area is scheduled for an uptick this weekend.

Qoxhi Picks: San Francisco 49ers (+5½) over the Arizona Cardinals