NFL 2024 Season - Week 16
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 16
Playoff Position
Rest of the Story
Different Sundays
Run Some Tests
Without and With
Week 15
Two Tonight
Playoff Chances
Wild Card Challenge
Best of the Best
Next
Dire Straits
And It's Good
Bloated Lines
Week 14
Running up the Score
Challenge Me
Finding Reasons to Win
Crab Feed
Week Off
Good Enough
Buyers Regret
Pulled the Rug
Week 13
Mile High Hopes
Top and Bottom
Fourth Time the Charm
Bounce Back
Engage Spark
Line Up
Out in the Cold
Thanksgiving Visitors
Good Enough
Motivation on Steroids
Week 12
Second Best
Heavyweight Bout
QB's Ins and Outs
Everybody In
Too Easy
Walk the Plank
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
Finding Reasons to Win
by Dennis Ranahan

Clear and partly cloudy is the forecast for all National Football League game sites today. While the weather is mild, the race to the 14 postseason slots is heating up.

Three teams have clinched a playoff date beginning with the Buffalo Bills who are the only team to lock in their division title. The Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs currently lead the NFC North and AFC West respectively, and while assured a playoff berth still have their division races to secure.

The Chiefs could do that tonight, when they host the second place Los Angeles Chargers. The Lions, who put a seemingly insurmountable distance between them and the Green Bay Packers with their Thursday night victory, still have the Minnesota Vikings in range to catch them. The Vikings have lost two games this season and host the Atlanta Falcons today. The Lions have the best record in football with a 12-1 mark.

Four teams have been eliminated from playoff possibilities; that list includes the New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, Las Vegas Raiders and New York Giants. This weekend, a few more teams will join the eliminated group.

Each year the question is raised whether some teams are willing to surrender the end of their campaign schedule while focusing on a higher draft pick. There are three teams with only two wins this season, the Jaguars, Raiders and Giants. Are they more concerned with ending the season with the worst record than adding to their win total?

While from an organizational standpoint that quest for a high draft choice seems reasonable, in real life I have never seen it played out on the field. Players and coaches are more concerned about keeping their jobs than what draft number they will earn with their record. There is also a competitive edge in athletes at this level that just doesn't lend to them being a boxer willing to take a dive for his career.

The more common occurrence late in a season is that a team that needs a win to earn a playoff spot has a lot of trouble beating a team with nothing left to play for other than affecting the postseason by messing up their opponents' prospects.

Then we have the advantageous situation where one team is in prime playoff pursuit and meeting a team already with a postseason date clinched. We get that today, when the Buffalo Bills, following their division clinching win over the San Francisco 49ers, meet another NFC West opponent, the Los Angeles Rams.

The Rams need wins to stay in the hunt in the competitive NFC West race, currently a logjam with a high probability that no team from the NFC West is going to earn a Wild Card berth. In addition to the Rams and 49ers, included in this division are the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks, who will battle today at State Farm Stadium.

While the Rams need wins, and the Bills are off their division clinching victory constitutes our top pick of the week. The public is on the opposite side. Their most-bet game of the week is the Buffalo Bills (-3½) over the Los Angeles Rams, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6½) over the Las Vegas Raiders and Miami Dolphins (-6) over the New York Jets.

The Qoxhi selections for Week 14 are now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour leading up to the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added to the list of recommendations by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.