NFL 2025 Season - Week 7
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 7
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Finding Reasons to Win
by Dennis Ranahan

Clear and partly cloudy is the forecast for all National Football League game sites today. While the weather is mild, the race to the 14 postseason slots is heating up.

Three teams have clinched a playoff date beginning with the Buffalo Bills who are the only team to lock in their division title. The Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs currently lead the NFC North and AFC West respectively, and while assured a playoff berth still have their division races to secure.

The Chiefs could do that tonight, when they host the second place Los Angeles Chargers. The Lions, who put a seemingly insurmountable distance between them and the Green Bay Packers with their Thursday night victory, still have the Minnesota Vikings in range to catch them. The Vikings have lost two games this season and host the Atlanta Falcons today. The Lions have the best record in football with a 12-1 mark.

Four teams have been eliminated from playoff possibilities; that list includes the New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, Las Vegas Raiders and New York Giants. This weekend, a few more teams will join the eliminated group.

Each year the question is raised whether some teams are willing to surrender the end of their campaign schedule while focusing on a higher draft pick. There are three teams with only two wins this season, the Jaguars, Raiders and Giants. Are they more concerned with ending the season with the worst record than adding to their win total?

While from an organizational standpoint that quest for a high draft choice seems reasonable, in real life I have never seen it played out on the field. Players and coaches are more concerned about keeping their jobs than what draft number they will earn with their record. There is also a competitive edge in athletes at this level that just doesn't lend to them being a boxer willing to take a dive for his career.

The more common occurrence late in a season is that a team that needs a win to earn a playoff spot has a lot of trouble beating a team with nothing left to play for other than affecting the postseason by messing up their opponents' prospects.

Then we have the advantageous situation where one team is in prime playoff pursuit and meeting a team already with a postseason date clinched. We get that today, when the Buffalo Bills, following their division clinching win over the San Francisco 49ers, meet another NFC West opponent, the Los Angeles Rams.

The Rams need wins to stay in the hunt in the competitive NFC West race, currently a logjam with a high probability that no team from the NFC West is going to earn a Wild Card berth. In addition to the Rams and 49ers, included in this division are the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks, who will battle today at State Farm Stadium.

While the Rams need wins, and the Bills are off their division clinching victory constitutes our top pick of the week. The public is on the opposite side. Their most-bet game of the week is the Buffalo Bills (-3½) over the Los Angeles Rams, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6½) over the Las Vegas Raiders and Miami Dolphins (-6) over the New York Jets.

The Qoxhi selections for Week 14 are now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour leading up to the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added to the list of recommendations by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.