NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
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Week 16
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
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Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Rookie Right
by Dennis Ranahan

The ten National Football League outdoor venues, from London to Los Angeles, are mostly calm with an exception of tonight, when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills at Arrowhead Stadium. Rain is expected throughout the game, and conditions could get sloppy by the fourth quarter.

The San Francisco 49ers are forced to step up the learning process for rookie signal caller Trey Lance. A calf injury that sidelined Jimmy Garoppolo during last week’s game has not responded well enough to treatment to allow his return this week.

Ideally, Lance would have likely most benefited from an apprenticeship that had him watch and learn this season, get in some action and be a year closer to taking over as a prize franchise quarterback. Patrick Mahomes had that opportunity in Kansas City, playing behind Alex Smith for his entire rookie season, then getting his first professional start on the final day of the 2017 campaign.

Lance had less college experience than Mahomes, and now starts essentially a year earlier.

Good luck, rookie.

The shift from proven veteran to untested rookie would seem to warrant a dramatic shift in the point spread. The spread had opened with the 49ers 4 point underdogs, a line that grew to 5½ points before the announcement that Garoppolo was out. The game was taken off the board for a short time while the bookmakers decided how the switch at quarterback should be reflected in the line.

When the spread was reposted, it was about where it was before the 49ers announced a shift at quarterback. The home standing Cardinals were favored by 5½ points.

Why would the line not shift dramatically from a proven quarterback to an untested rookie?

Sometimes it is the right rookie that can make the difference for a win, while other times, like this one, the situation is so ripe for a victory that a shift at quarterback only adds to the already motivational advantages. In this case, those edges clearly belong to the visiting 49ers who may have a long and winding road before Lance is ready to guide San Francisco to a Super Bowl, but his career gets off to a 1-0 start today.

The public has checked in with their three favorite plays of the day. They are in order of dollar volume, the Dallas Cowboys (-7) over New York Giants; Las Vegas Raiders (-5½) over Chicago Bears; Tennessee Titans (-4½) over Jacksonville Jaguars.

As for the Qoxhi selections this week, they are now posted on this site and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour before the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added to the list of recommendations by 9:45 a.m.