NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 16
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Liftoff
by Dennis Ranahan

Weather conditions at all ten outdoor venues for today’s National Football League action will not play a major role in the outcomes. Some light rain could fall in Jacksonville and Tampa Bay, while the only likely location for measurable rain would be in Miami, where the Dolphins host the New York Jets.

The books are not going to lose forever with the Jets, they will bend the point spread and New York will find a win or two along the way. Right now, before they play today, the Jets are 0-5 both straight up and against the point spread.

The Jets were supposed to play the Los Angeles Chargers today, but Covid-19 outbreaks in other cities affected the schedule and instead we get New York at Hard Rock. When a team is as horrible as the Jets have been, the public is going to bet against them, and the books are going to move the point spreads to shift the advantage on the proposition.

Just how bad are the Jets, and how does Adam Gase still have a job?

He could only still have a job because the team is on a longer building plan and Gase is an integral part of that project. Right now, the primary objective is not to win games, but to put in place the pieces that will complement Sam Darnold’s game when he successfully moves into the starting role.

The Jets are in a great place to be real good pretty quick, but not yet.

This week, some establishments reported wagering on this game on their parlay cards running 20 to 1 in favor of the Dolphins. No one is betting the Jets, and everyone has a good reason for that conclusion based on nearly everything that has happened for the first five weeks of the season.

There is a law of nature in play here; the books nurture ways not to get beat by the same team. Bloated point spreads and eventual wins by a team, even one as bad as the New York Jets, have a way of bending in the books favor.

This one is so easy for the Dolphins, who slammed the San Francisco 49ers last week on the road. The Jets are coming to town knowing they could get blown out unless they do something special.

Do the Jets have the ability to win in them?

More importantly, do the Dolphins have it in them to win here or is this the perfect spot for New York to pick up one of their rare wins? This is much more a case of the Dolphins not having it in them. They are coming off a huge win over the defending National Football Conference Champions, and their confidence is running high.

The team needing to play great to avoid getting blown out is in a much better motivational spot than the squad that won last week and expects the same today. Sometimes we wager on teams we think are going to win, and other times against squads we’re confident are going to lose.

A win from either side is a win.

Close your eyes if you must, but take the Jets and the points today.

The Public has checked in with their three favorite plays of the week, beginning with the Baltimore Ravens (-9½) over the Philadelphia Eagles and followed by the Green Bay Packers (-1) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings (-4) over the Atlanta Falcons.

As for Qoxhi, New York is one of four plays now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour before today's first kickoff, that game will be added to the playlist by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.