NFL 2025 Season - Pre1
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Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:
     
 
Liftoff
by Dennis Ranahan

Weather conditions at all ten outdoor venues for today’s National Football League action will not play a major role in the outcomes. Some light rain could fall in Jacksonville and Tampa Bay, while the only likely location for measurable rain would be in Miami, where the Dolphins host the New York Jets.

The books are not going to lose forever with the Jets, they will bend the point spread and New York will find a win or two along the way. Right now, before they play today, the Jets are 0-5 both straight up and against the point spread.

The Jets were supposed to play the Los Angeles Chargers today, but Covid-19 outbreaks in other cities affected the schedule and instead we get New York at Hard Rock. When a team is as horrible as the Jets have been, the public is going to bet against them, and the books are going to move the point spreads to shift the advantage on the proposition.

Just how bad are the Jets, and how does Adam Gase still have a job?

He could only still have a job because the team is on a longer building plan and Gase is an integral part of that project. Right now, the primary objective is not to win games, but to put in place the pieces that will complement Sam Darnold’s game when he successfully moves into the starting role.

The Jets are in a great place to be real good pretty quick, but not yet.

This week, some establishments reported wagering on this game on their parlay cards running 20 to 1 in favor of the Dolphins. No one is betting the Jets, and everyone has a good reason for that conclusion based on nearly everything that has happened for the first five weeks of the season.

There is a law of nature in play here; the books nurture ways not to get beat by the same team. Bloated point spreads and eventual wins by a team, even one as bad as the New York Jets, have a way of bending in the books favor.

This one is so easy for the Dolphins, who slammed the San Francisco 49ers last week on the road. The Jets are coming to town knowing they could get blown out unless they do something special.

Do the Jets have the ability to win in them?

More importantly, do the Dolphins have it in them to win here or is this the perfect spot for New York to pick up one of their rare wins? This is much more a case of the Dolphins not having it in them. They are coming off a huge win over the defending National Football Conference Champions, and their confidence is running high.

The team needing to play great to avoid getting blown out is in a much better motivational spot than the squad that won last week and expects the same today. Sometimes we wager on teams we think are going to win, and other times against squads we’re confident are going to lose.

A win from either side is a win.

Close your eyes if you must, but take the Jets and the points today.

The Public has checked in with their three favorite plays of the week, beginning with the Baltimore Ravens (-9½) over the Philadelphia Eagles and followed by the Green Bay Packers (-1) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings (-4) over the Atlanta Falcons.

As for Qoxhi, New York is one of four plays now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour before today's first kickoff, that game will be added to the playlist by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.