NFL 2025 Season - Week 18
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 18
Long Odds
Last Punch
No Way Out
Week 17
Rams for the Future
Top Seed Grab
Better Make Sure
Dream Buster
One for the Road
Complicated Conclusion
Three for Christmas
Topped Out
Right Again
Week 16
First of Three
Surprises
December Battles
New York, New York
Two for Two
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
To Win or Not to Win
by Dennis Ranahan

Football historians still cite the Pittsburgh Steelers going into Buffalo on the final day of the 2004 season and beating the Bills in a game the home team needed to earn a playoff slot while the Steelers were already locked into their playoff seed.

They talk about it because it's so rare that a team that is already in the playoffs upsets a team needing a win to join the postseason party. I have another fact for teams that do win when they don’t have to on the final day of the season, they don’t play well when they need to in the playoffs. In 2004, the Steelers followed their triumph in Buffalo with a narrow victory over the New York Jets, winning by three points while favored by nine, and then got blown out on their home field by two touchdowns to complete Ben Roethlisberger’s rookie season.

When a team wins an “extra” game, against a team that needed it and didn’t get it, there is a confidence in the victors that is overblown and they become common victims of that motivational trap.

So, here we are, the final day of the 2024 regular season, and we have a game where one side needs it to clinch a playoff berth, and the other side is locked into their playoff slot. In this case, it is the Denver Broncos, who behind rookie quarterback Bo Nix are on the cusp of cracking the playoff field in Sean Payton’s second season coaching the team in the Mile High City. The Broncos opponent this Sunday is the Kansas City Chiefs, a team that with their victory in Pittsburgh on Christmas Day locked up the American Football Conference top seed.

Do the Chiefs have anything to play for?

Well, that depends on who you are asking that question.

Sign In or Sign Up to get the full article now

 

Please Sign In

Remember Me

OR