NFL 2025 Season - Week 10
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 10
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Advanced Calculus
by Dennis Ranahan

Rain is in the forecast at all seven outdoor National Football League venues today. Heavy in Washington, Jacksonville, Buffalo and Tampa Bay. While the conditions are wet, they do not carry with them winter conditions that should greatly affect the play on the field.

Last night, the Los Angeles Rams beat the Arizona Cardinals, 13-9. Do they still have to win next week when they host the Seattle Seahawks to claim the NFC West title?

Get your slide rulers out, this is going to be tricky. While a Rams win next week would clinch the division title for Sean McVay’s squad, quite a turnaround from their one win and four losses to start the 2024 season, they could clinch the division title today.

How?

If coming into the week at least three of these teams won and at least one tied the Rams would win the West with their victory over the Cardinals. The six teams that are involved that could affect the Rams playoff possibilities are the Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Minnesota Vikings, Washington Commanders, San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals.

The Bengals have already won, downing the Denver Broncos in overtime on Saturday afternoon. That leaves five teams to determine if the Seahawks, who won on Thursday night in Chicago over the Bears, are alive entering the final week of the season. If the five teams yet to play listed above pick up at least two wins and a tie, the Seahawks are eliminated, and the Rams are playoff bound.

Now, yesterday, some sideline calculations by the Broncos coaching staff based on clinching a playoff berth with a tie came into play. The Broncos rushing offense was denting holes in the Bengals defense most of the game. When they scored a touchdown on a long fourth quarter pass with seconds remaining on the game clock to pull to within one point, the obvious call for a team looking to win would have been to go for a two-point conversion to pull out the victory.

That is what Denver Quarterback Bo Nix was expecting his sideline to call, but what seemed to be a change of heart Broncos Head Coach Sean Payton sent in his kicker to boot the tying extra point and send the contest to overtime.

Why?

Was Payton, like me, laying three points in this game and needed to have the game end on a wider margin than one point?

No.

What he was advised is that the Broncos would earn a Wild Card berth with a tie or win and shouldn’t risk a loss with those two choices available. The Broncos played the overtime period like they were gunning for a tie, and it cost them when the Bengals scored the winning touchdown for a 30-24 decision. Now to earn a postseason bid, the Broncos need to beat the Kansas City Chiefs next week or have the Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts lose at least one of their final two games and the Bengals lose in Pittsburgh next Sunday.

Got that?

Probably best to wait and see what happens and then find out who advances, and which teams are going to start next Monday with their draft preparation.

The public has checked in with their three favorite plays of the day beginning with the Washington Commanders (-3½) over the Atlanta Falcons. The public’s next two most favorite plays this week are the Detroit Lions (-3½) over the San Francisco 49ers on Monday night and the Indianapolis Colts (-8) over the New York Giants today.

The Qoxhi top pick for Week 17 is now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour leading up to the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.