NFL 2024 Season - Week 16
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 16
Playoff Position
Rest of the Story
Different Sundays
Run Some Tests
Without and With
Week 15
Two Tonight
Playoff Chances
Wild Card Challenge
Best of the Best
Next
Dire Straits
And It's Good
Bloated Lines
Week 14
Running up the Score
Challenge Me
Finding Reasons to Win
Crab Feed
Week Off
Good Enough
Buyers Regret
Pulled the Rug
Week 13
Mile High Hopes
Top and Bottom
Fourth Time the Charm
Bounce Back
Engage Spark
Line Up
Out in the Cold
Thanksgiving Visitors
Good Enough
Motivation on Steroids
Week 12
Second Best
Heavyweight Bout
QB's Ins and Outs
Everybody In
Too Easy
Walk the Plank
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
Wild Card Challenge
by Dennis Ranahan

Rain is in the forecast in Cleveland today when the Browns host the Kansas City Chiefs. No inclement weather is forecasted at the rest of the outdoor Sunday venues and five games on today’s schedule are played in dome stadiums. On Monday night, the National Football League is offering up a pair of Monday Night Football contests that also find the home teams, Minnesota and Las Vegas, with domed stadiums.

The Denver Broncos opened this season with a rookie quarterback and Super Bowl odds in the triple figures. Now, after their win two weeks ago over the Cleveland Browns, the Broncos currently own one of the seven playoff spots in the American Football Conference. Their success is multiple pronged.

It begins with the solid coaching of Sean Payton, who won a Super Bowl and consistently had the New Orleans Saints among the NFL best during his nine seasons in the Big Easy. Payton mentored quarterback Drew Brees to a career that guarantees him a first ballot election into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Now he has Bo Nix, and the signal caller who played five college seasons is showing the maturity of his age, 24, over what most rookie quarterbacks display. Nix has both avoided being sacked, he has been caught behind the line of scrimmage only 19 times, and a solid completion percentage while completing 17 touchdowns against only 8 interceptions. Only two teams have a better sack against number than Denver. The Buffalo Bills have protected Josh Allen for a league low 13 sacks and the Packers have protected their quarterbacks from being caught attempting to pass 16 times.

The Broncos success is also pinned to solid defensive play. In the entire league, only the Los Angeles Chargers have allowed fewer points than the 234 surrendered by Denver. The Chargers have limited opponents to 207 points.

So, an easy ride to the playoffs in Nix’s rookie season in the Mile High City?

Well, maybe not.

Mature or not, the pressure of winning down the stretch to secure a playoff berth in one's rookie season can be a daunting task. Today, they host the Indianapolis Colts, who come into play two games behind Denver for the final AFC Wild Card spot. That can be trouble for a team looking to extend an advantage to three games as opposed to their opponent needing a win to cut the deficit to one.

The final three games for Denver are against the Chargers, Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, all games that could be a challenge for the young Broncos particularly when taking into consideration the Chargers and Bengals games are on the road.

What that means is Denver really wants this game to enhance their Wild Card prospects, while Indianapolis needs this game to keep their legitimate playoff hopes alive. Need over want every time.

The Colts plus the points is one of the three money rated plays now posted on this site. As for the public, they don’t agree with our Indianapolis choice, and their favorite plays this week are first the Cincinnati Bengals (-5) over the Tennessee Titans. Their next two most-bet games are the Broncos (-4) over the Colts and Washington Commanders (-7½) over the New Orleans Saints.

All of our money rated plays are now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour leading up to the day’s first kickoff, it will be added to the list of recommendations by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.