Two division opponents are meeting this Sunday and one of the teams is riding a five-game point spread winning streak and is 6 and 1 against the point spread this season. Their opponent has not won more games than they lost against the spread this season with a mark of 3-3-1 against the line.
Okay, big deal. What’s the point?
Well, what if I told you that the team on the winning streak and the near perfect point spread record is getting points this week? Would you then think the only play in this game is to take the team with the better money mark getting points?
Before you decide that, let me fill in who these teams are with their names.
I'm betting that it would surprise most football followers to learn that the team with the best record against the point spread this year is the Indianapolis Colts. Their only point spread loss this season was a hard-fought narrow defeat at Lambeau Field in second week action, 16-10. In their six other games, four of which they were underdogs, the Colts have won money for their backers.
This week, the Colts are in Houston to meet a Texans team that they could catch in the AFC South Division standings with a win. Despite the balance in favor of the Colts on the point spread marks, the Texans have won one more game straight-up this season with a 5 and 2 record.