NFL 2025 Season - Week 18
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 18
Both Right
Final Scramble
Unraveling the South
Win and Hope
Wasted Prayers
Long Odds
Last Punch
No Way Out
Week 17
Rams for the Future
Top Seed Grab
Better Make Sure
Dream Buster
One for the Road
Complicated Conclusion
Three for Christmas
Topped Out
Right Again
Week 16
First of Three
Surprises
December Battles
New York, New York
Two for Two
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Not Bad
by Dennis Ranahan

The defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs are perfect this season, five wins in five starts, and are underdogs this week to a team that has struggled most of the year. Their opponent this week is the San Francisco 49ers who have lost as many games as they have won with three wins and three losses.

What is this?

A gift from the books?

First of all, know this, the books don’t offer gifts. Every week, every game, they are on a mission to separate gamblers from their money. And, they do a very good job of it. A little over half the bettors on this matchup between the Chiefs and 49ers have accepted their points with Patrick Mahomes and company.

It can’t be a bad bet, can it?

No, I would not say that getting the Chiefs with points is a bad bet. This is a team that won three straight postseason games last season as an underdog to the Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and 49ers and came out champions. Want to anticipate having fun on Sunday, bet on Mahomes. He may be the greatest of all time even while considering Tom Brady, Joe Montana and any other former star with multiple Super Bowl rings.

Still, what we have here when these two teams square off on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium is a Chiefs team sitting comfortably atop their division standings and the 49ers in a dogfight in the NFC West. From a simple factor of need, the edge goes to the home team in this rematch of two of the past five Super Bowls.

The Chiefs beat the 49ers in each of those Roman numeral games, downing Kyle Shanahan’s squad with a fourth quarterback comeback in Super Bowl LIV and in overtime last February. Those losses could add fuel to the 49ers competitive edge.

While Mahomes is the engine that makes the Chiefs go, this year it is Kansas City’s defense that is as much responsible for their 5-0 start. The Chiefs have scored 118 points this season, which ranks sixth in the 16 team American Football Conference. Their defense has limited opponents to 85 points, Only the Los Angeles Chargers and Minnesota Vikings have allowed fewer in the entire league.

So, we know why the Chiefs are perfect. Mahomes puts up points whenever they seemingly need them, and the defense is rock solid. Which brings us back to this, why are they underdogs in San Francisco?

Only one reason.

Because they are going to lose.

Qoxhi Picks: San Francisco 49ers (-1½) over Kansas City Chiefs