NFL 2024 Season - Week 12
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 12
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
So Close
by Dennis Ranahan

It’s not the holiday season yet, but ifs and buts are being hung all over the National Football League results.

Talk that the Kansas City Chiefs don’t have to be four and oh because all four of their games came down to a final play. If Isaiah Likely would have been in the Ravens could have beaten them in the opener; if a late pass interference call wouldn’t have been made the Bengals would have beaten them; if the Falcons could have finished a drive in the redzone they could have won in third week action over Patrick Mahomes and company; and if the Chargers … well, you get the idea.

But, and here are the facts, the defending Super Bowl Champion Chiefs know how to win and their late heroics to pull contests out are not by chance, but design. Tomorrow night the Chiefs close out fifth week action with a Monday Night Football date with the New Orleans Saints.

After opening their season with lopsided wins over the Carolina Panthers and Dallas Cowboys, the Saints have lost a couple close ones. First to the Philadelphia Eagles when after shutting out their Superdome visitors for three quarters they got dented for 15 points in the fourth quarter enroute to a three-point loss. Last week, the Saints took a lead in the final minutes of a game in Atlanta, then Kirk Cousins engineered a late drive to get the Falcons into make-abel field goal range, which resulted in a two-point Atlanta victory.

An early Monday night preview shows that the public likes the “if’s” more than the “buts.” They are betting the Saints plus the five-and-a-half points to rebound from their two most recent losses with a point spread decision at Arrowhead Stadium against the undefeated Chiefs. “But” Kansas CIty is at home without a loss, and yet it seems the public is inclined to back the team that lost the last couple weeks “if” only …

While the Chiefs can celebrate winning all the close ones, and the Saints can bank on two impressive triumphs, the Jacksonville Jaguars have nothing to lean on. They have had a couple close ones, they lost in Miami during opening week action in a game they controlled for most of the afternoon. They lost last week after dominating the second half when a late Houston Texans touchdown edged them on the scoreboard.

Between those two losses, the Jaguars handed the Cleveland Browns their only win of the season and got blown out in a Monday night contest in Buffalo.

Nope, the “ifs” don’t help hide the Jaguars major disappointments this year. In fact, since they upset the Houston Texans on the road last November, a game in which gave them the edge in winning the AFC South Division, the Jaguars have lost nine of ten games. All four this year, and only a win over the Carolina Panthers last season over the final two months of the 2023 campaign.

Franchise quarterback Trevor Lawrence, the first pick in the 2021 draft, had bluechip credentials coming out of college. He appeared to be living up to his press clippings when he led the Jaguars to the playoffs and a Wild Card win over the Los Angeles Chargers in his second pro season. Then, the late season collapse last year and continued problems though the first month of this year’s campaign, has more questions than answers around the Jaguars quarterback.

In other words, the luster is off and the Jaguars are looking into the abyss of being a bad team.

Perfect, on my charts, to have a breakout game when the Indianapolis Colts visit Florida today.

Qoxhi Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) over Indianapolis Colts