NFL 2024 Season - Week 14
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 13
Mile High Hopes
Top and Bottom
Fourth Time the Charm
Bounce Back
Engage Spark
Line Up
Out in the Cold
Thanksgiving Visitors
Good Enough
Motivation on Steroids
Week 12
Second Best
Heavyweight Bout
QB's Ins and Outs
Everybody In
Too Easy
Walk the Plank
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
By the Fire
by Dennis Ranahan

There have been years when a contest between the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos would be a big attraction. This year, it will have trouble competing with Christmas Eve night activities.

The Patriots are horrible.

Bill Belichick is probably coaching his final few games for Robert Kraft, and New England is good enough to lose to anyone anywhere. That is certainly how the public sees this primetime meeting.

The Denver Broncos are the third most-bet team of the day by the public. This is a Denver team that got tagged for 70 points earlier this year and comes into tonight’s game with as many losses as wins.

Over the past two seasons, the Broncos have made major moves to get back into the postseason hunt. Last year, they brought in one time Super Bowl winner Russell Wilson to run their offense, and he turned out to be a total bust in the Mile High City. He finished his first campaign with the Broncos, a team he beat in Super Bowl XLVIII while a member of the Seattle Seahawks, in last place in the AFC West Division with only five wins against 12 losses.

This season, Denver added another former Super Bowl winner, Head Coach Sean Payton. His initial weeks in charge of the Broncos looked a lot like the mess Wilson orchestrated last season. Denver got off to a one win and five loss start behind Payton, and as mentioned, was tagged for 70 points in a 50 point loss to the Miami Dolphins.

The fortunes of the Broncos have turned in recent weeks, as Wilson and Payton seem to be getting on the same page. The Broncos are still mathematically alive for a postseason berth with their seven wins and seven losses, and would need victories in their final three games and a lot of help to crack the playoff field.

They are most likely not going to play any games after the regular season concludes in 2023, but there is renewed hope in Denver now that the team has won six of their most recent eight games.

As far as the Patriots are concerned, they are less than a shadow of the team Belichick combined with Tom Brady to set the standard in the league for nearly twenty years. The team has not drafted well in recent seasons, does not have a franchise quarterback on their roster and are well behind the Broncos in their development for the future.

So, you can understand while the public is backing the Broncos in this primetime holiday feature. Yet, giving points with a still sputtering Broncos team is a high risk, and betting on the Patriots is suicide.

I’ll sit by the fire log tonight, listen to Christmas music and visit with the family without any concern for this game until I need to post the score after it’s over.