NFL 2025 Season - Week 18
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 18
Last Punch
No Way Out
Week 17
Rams for the Future
Top Seed Grab
Better Make Sure
Dream Buster
One for the Road
Complicated Conclusion
Three for Christmas
Topped Out
Right Again
Week 16
First of Three
Surprises
December Battles
New York, New York
Two for Two
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Running on Empty
by Dennis Ranahan

The Las Vegas Raiders are still looking for their first win, and they have been looking in all the wrong places.

The Raiders swept their four preseason games, they played the three preseason weeks and the Hall of Fame Game, under new head coach Josh McDaniels. That buoyed their prospects of building on last year’s success that included a playoff berth. Few things are more bitter for a good team than winning all their preseason games and then getting tripped up when the games count in the regular season.

The Raiders opened their campaign at the Los Angeles Chargers, and Los Angeles played their best game of the season while downing the visitors 24-19. In second week action, the Raiders were favored at home against the Arizona Cardinals and looked to be on their way to a victory before a furious fourth quarter rally by Arizona knotted the score at 23 and sent the game into overtime.

The Raiders looked like they were going to win there too, but a fumble returned for a Cardinals touchdown sealed the Silver and Black’s fate in a 29-23 loss. Again favored last week, against a winless Tennessee Titans squad, the Raiders lost on the road in a close one, 24-22.

So what gives with the Raiders?

Weren’t they supposed to be better than this?

Yes, they were, but no they’re not.

The Raiders losses have all been winnable contests, and they were favored in their two most recent setbacks against the Cardinals and Titans. Would it be rude here to mention to the Las Vegas fans that the Cardinals and Titans only have one win each this year, and those victories came against the Silver and Black?

Yeah, probably.

So, do we take the Raiders on Sunday when they host the Denver Broncos with confidence they aren’t going to lose four in a row?

This also just may be the wrong place for the Raiders to find their first win. The Broncos are arguably the better team with an offense that is now under the direction of a future Hall of Fame quarterback, Russell Wilson. The longtime Seattle Seahawks starter has not played up to his lofty standards during the first three weeks of NFL action. But, his team has managed to win two games since they lost a nail-biter in the opening Monday Night Football telecast, 17-16, to Wilson’s former team.

Here is what we have on Sunday when these two teams square off in Sin City. The Raiders are favored for the third straight week while still looking for their first win. Conversely, the Broncos were double-digit favorites when they met the Houston Texans two weeks ago and underdogs at home last Sunday night against the San Francisco 49ers. In other words, the Broncos have won as both a favorite and underdog and the Raiders have failed on both counts.

So, why are the Raiders favored this week?

Because the guys with the pocket protectors and horn rim glasses figure there is no way the Raiders are going to fall to 0-4 while the Broncos dart three games ahead of them in the AFC West Division standings.

What that rationale fails to recognize is that the Broncos are not seeing themselves in competition with the Raiders, but the two other teams in the division that have wins, the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers.

Here is the rub, when a team is looking for their first win and can hide behind the fact that they were close in their losses, it wreaks havoc with their motivational juices. It would be best for Las Vegas if they lose one big and then return as a motivated underdog.

That is not the situation here. The Raiders are favored, bet-on this week, and expect that their first victory is just 60 minutes of game clock away.

It’s not.

Not against an inspired Broncos team with the challenge to keep the Raiders winless and getting points on the spread in that quest.

Qoxhi Picks: Denver Broncos (+2½) over Las Vegas Raiders