NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
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Week 16
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Confident Loser
by Dennis Ranahan

Halloween is not bringing scary weather to any of the NFL outdoor venues today. There may be some drizzle in Buffalo, where the Bills host the Miami Dolphins, but mostly clear at the other outdoor stadiums.

This week, a pure motivation versus talent is on display when the Cincinnati Bengals meet the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. The Bengals are becoming a team with a straight up trajectory, having won four of their most recent five games, only a narrow overtime defeat against the Green Bay Packers interrupting their winning ways.

This Joe Burrow led rise to the top of the AFC North Division standings include a victory over the Baltimore Ravens last week, gaining the Bengals a share of the top spot in the Division. Now, after that dramatic road win over Baltimore, the Bengals travel to New York to meet the Jets. Next week, the Bengals meet another talented AFC North Division rival, the Cleveland Browns.

Now, you tell me how they can get up for this game against the Jets?

If the Jets were any of 29 other teams in the NFL they would be a play today. But, this is the Jets, and despite their upset win over the Tennessee Titans in their last game played in this stadium, New York is even weaker than they had been given the loss of rookie starting quarterback Zach Wilson.

With Wilson out, the Jets made a trade this week for Joe Flacco, the one time Super Bowl winning quarterback with the Baltimore Ravens. But Flacco didn’t jump on a plane and dive into the Jets playbook after learning of the trade, instead taking care of other priorities before joining the team.

So, that leaves Mike White to start for the Jets today.

It is a perfect spot for the Jets motivationally and a trap for the Bengals, but once the game starts the talent on the field means something and that’s where the Jets have run into problems this season.

Another weak team in a perfect motivational spot is the Jacksonville Jaguars. They take their one game winning streak to Seattle to meet a Seahawks squad looking to end a three game skid. Like the Jets, the Seahawks are weakened by the loss of their starting quarterback. Their Wilson, Russell, remains sidelined while Geno Smith directs the Seahawks offense.

Seattle has dropped three straight games but are confident that the Jaguars will provide competition they can beat. They may have a physical edge, slight as it may currently be, but motivationally few things are worse than playing badly and thinking your opponent is the answer to your problems.

The Jaguars and other games that offer both motivation and more talented rosters to wager on are now posted on this site. If a Bullet Play develops in the final hour leading up to the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added to the playlist by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.

As for the public, their three favorite plays today are; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4½) over New Orleans Saints; Atlanta Falcons (-3) over Carolina Panthers; Seattle Seahawks (-3½) over Jacksonville Jaguars.

Tonight, the Minnesota Vikings host the Dallas Cowboys and the visitors will be without starting quarterback Dak Prescott. More on this contest in the Sunday afternoon Headline Play which will break on this site at 4:00 p.m. Pacific Time.