Second week National Football League action will be played in mild weather at all 11 outdoor venues today. The only interruption is the possibility of light rain showers in Jacksonville, Tampa and Seattle where the Jaguars host the Denver Broncos, the Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons and the Seahawks host the Tennessee Titans.
Each week Qoxhi makes selections on every game beginning with the Bold Friday report on Friday and all the games listed on the Efficiency Form on Sunday morning. A number of games are written up in Headline Play features, but the games that we recommend a wager on are those contests that are assigned a money management number on game day.
Some clients wonder if when they see an article during the week on a particular game it is a call to wager on that contest. It is not. Often, those picks are included in the game day choices but the criteria used to make money selections require information that is not available until game day.
More than just weather and injury reports, information collected on Friday, Saturday and Sunday mornings is utilized to determine which contests we are confident have the best chance of beating the point spread. The articles and advance notices can be considered entertainment, while the money rated games are business.
This week, that process slimmed the choices that have all the elements we are looking for to determine a money play down to two games, and those contests are now posted on this site.
As for the public preferences, as determined by the most money wagered on games, their three favorite plays of Week Two are the New Orleans Saints (-3½) over the Carolina Panthers, Los Angeles Rams (-3½) over the Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals (-3½) over the Minnesota Vikings.
Each Sunday, we leave open the possibility of a Bullet Play which will be added by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time. What we are looking for here is a contest that the public is against but the books move the line to make the public play more attractive. Bullet Plays illuminate where the public and books are in stark contrast. This occurs when the public is backing one side of a contest in significant numbers and the money from wise guys is forcing the books to move the spread in the opposite direction.
It gives us a clear indicator between wise guy money and public preference. We will consistently side with the wise guys.