NFL 2024 Season - Week 12
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 12
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
Falcons Fly into Mile High
by Dennis Ranahan

A rookie quarterback on a team that has recently shed the veteran quarterback they had traded for two years earlier to revive a struggling franchise with a coach that had achieved success on his previous stop but not here.

Not in Denver.

Not in the Mile High City.

This didn’t look like the makeup for a successful season.

The Broncos upset the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl 50 to complete the 2015 season. They won that game with Hall of Fame Quarterback Peyton Manning running their offense. In some ways, it really wasn’t Manning responsible for that success but more credited to a rock-solid defense.

That win was Manning’s last professional game. He was the second Denver quarterback to call it quits after winning a Super Bowl, John Elway had also gone out on top after the 1998 season.

Since that Super Bowl win and Manning’s retirement the Denver Broncos had been on a quarterback search that looked like a kid thinking he was in an Easter Egg hunt in September. Draft choices were spent on top college talent that didn’t pan out on the pro circuit, and three years ago they acquired Russell Wilson, who had twice guided the Seattle Seahawks to Super Bowl games, winning one and losing another, to lead their offense. Wilson brought Hall of Fame credentials to the Mile High City but proved a bust in Denver.

In his first year with the Broncos he got his head coach fired, after his second season leading the Broncos offense the team kept their new coach and shipped Wilson to Pittsburgh. Again, the Broncos used a first round draft choice in an attempt to fill their quarterback need. While Bo Nix was the twelfth overall selection, he was the sixth quarterback chosen in the 2024 draft.

The Chicago Bears opened the draft selecting Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels went second to the Washington Commanders and the third pick in the draft was Drake Maye, who went to the New England Patriots. With the eighth pick in the draft the Atlanta Falcons selected Michael Penix Jr. and two picks later the Minnesota Vikings took Michigan’s J.J. McCarthy. Nix went to Denver after the New York Jets had selected defensive lineman Olumuylwa Fashanu.

For a point of reference, there were also six quarterbacks taken in the first round in the 1983 draft and the last one chosen proved to be one of the best, Dan Marino. Could the Broncos catch the same kind of lightning in a bottle with Nix?

The work Sean Payton has put in with the Broncos is paying off in his second season in Denver. They are playing football much in the same image of his successful run as head coach with the New Orleans Saints. Only three teams in the American Football Conference are allowing fewer points than the Broncos this season, namely the Los Angeles Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers.

To compliment their defense, Nix has been solid if not spectacular at quarterback. He is running an offense that makes few mistakes and relies both on his passing skills and a solid ground game. It has elevated the Broncos team this year that came into the season with Super Bowl odds in triple digits to a position at the midway point of the season that has them in prime running for a postseason berth.

This week, the Broncos return to their Mile High stadium after suffering a pair of losses on the road to a pair of the best teams in football, the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. This week they host the Atlanta Falcons.

One pundit on the radio said while reviewing the Sunday NFL scores, “You just never know what you are going to get with the Atlanta Falcons.” He was referring to their loss last week in New Orleans that ended the Saints seven game losing streak. The Falcons came into that game with a perch atop the NFC South Division race of two games over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who they had already beaten twice this season in head-to-head meetings.

In other words, the birds from Atlanta were sitting pretty.

For those that think you never know what you are going to get from Atlanta, a team good enough to beat the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field and take a second season win over the Buccaneers while leading them in the standings, I suggest the opposite. You know exactly what you are going to get from the Falcons. When challenged, they rise to the occasion, but in a bad spot with confidence on their side, they melt like a cake in the rain.

This week, off a loss, the Falcons will be motivated over the home team in Denver … a Broncos squad favored on the point spread and getting the public backing while riding a two-game losing streak.

This, I suggest, is another spot we can expect the Falcons to give us exactly what we expect.

Qoxhi Picks: Atlanta Falcons (+2) over Denver Broncos