Each week for this site I write eight stories or more and most of them pick a winner in a National Football League matchup. Sometimes, like this week, we will write a story early in the week that loses credence for us as more information rolls in that sways us off an early selection.
Sometimes, like this week, the later information is so strong it not only takes us off our first look but puts us on their opponent.
On Tuesday, my first Headline Play this week tabbed the Los Angeles Chargers giving more than a field goal against the visiting Tennessee Titans. Seems likely, given the Chargers have allowed the fewest points in the league and the Titans offense is anemic.
In fact, as the week went on, more and more people piled on the Chargers side of this wager, but the books kept the point spread frozen at 7½. If the Chargers are such a good play, and the public is backing them like they are a sure thing, then why isn’t that line rising like the temperature in Phoenix in August?
Does someone know something I hadn’t accounted for early?
Well, in fact, in my own office someone seems to know something that I had not yet taken into account. Kevin, my son, who has numbers and situations that point to winners as often as a wind gauge follows breezes, told me on Tuesday night that the Titans plus the points was clearly the best play of the week.