NFL 2025 Season - PS1
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Wild Card Weekend
Playoff Revenge
Beep-Beep-Beep
Week 18
Both Right
Final Scramble
Unraveling the South
Win and Hope
Wasted Prayers
Long Odds
Last Punch
No Way Out
Week 17
Rams for the Future
Top Seed Grab
Better Make Sure
Dream Buster
One for the Road
Complicated Conclusion
Three for Christmas
Topped Out
Right Again
Week 16
First of Three
Surprises
December Battles
New York, New York
Two for Two
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
MVP Call
by Dennis Ranahan

This morning, I saw where one bettor plunked down $7,500 to win $120,000 on Aaron Donald being named Super Bowl LVI Most Valuable Player.

You like his bet? His 12 to 1 odds?

With two weeks to hype a single National Football League game the books will find all sorts of wagering propositions to serve their driving force; separating bettors from their money. Only once in Super Bowl history did the books stub their own toe in this process, that was in 1986 when the Chicago Bears met the New England Patriots in Super Bowl XX. The books laid out the proposition focussed on William “Refrigerator” Perry scoring a touchdown and set the proposition with too long of odds that turned into a popular proposition play for the public.

Perry did score a touchdown, and the books took a financial hit. Now, in that same game, won by the Bears, 46-10, their star runningback, Walter Payton, didn’t score a touchdown. Now that would have been an interesting parlay with real long odds if one was to wager Perry would score a TD and Payton wouldn’t.

Now, the guy that wagered on defensive lineman Donald winning the MVP this year might take solace from that game given it was the second in which a defensive lineman was named MVP. Richard Dent won it when the Bears beat the Patriots. In 1978, when the Dallas Cowboys beat the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XII, two defensive lineman shared the Award, Randy White and Harvey Martin.

On my radio apperance last week, broadcast partner Larry Krueger, who I have great respect for, said he took the 16 to 1 odds on Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase to pick up the MVP Award. While I counter with my leanings to always bank on the winning quarterback picking up the MVP honor, I do recall that when I was with the Oakland Raiders in Pasadena in 1977, the MVP of our win over the Minnesota Vikings was wide receiver Fred Biletnikoff.

But, in balance, if you’re looking to take shorter odds with a greater chance of winning a proposition wager on the MVP, I suggest you take the quarterback of the team you think is going to win. In the prior 55 Super Bowls, the winning quarterback has picked up the MVP Trophy 31 times while defensive players have won it only 10 times.

Picking a player from the winning team is essential. Only once has a player from the losing team gained the MVP Award. That was in Super Bowl V when the Baltimore Colts beat the Dallas Cowboys on a game ending fourth quarter field goal by Jim O’Brien. The Cowboys led most of the game, and linebacker Chuck Howley was playing great for Tom Landay’s squad.

In those days, the media in attendance was handed a sheet to pick the Super Bowl MVP late in the third quarter and had to submit their choice midway through the final period. Before the game was decided. If that was how they did it in more recent times, we may have had an Atlanta Falcons player winning the Award in Super Bowl LI before Tom Brady staged the dramatic comeback and overtime victory … and of course, Brady both was and got the MVP Award five years ago.

It was little consolation for Howley that he was named MVP after his team lost to the Colts in 1971.

One kick returner captured the MVP Award with Desmond Howard gaining that distinction for his outstanding play against the New England Patriots to complete the 1996 season. By position, the other winners break down this way; Quarterback (31), Running Back (7), Wide Receiver (7), Linebacker (4), Defensive End (2), Safety (2), Cornerback (1) and Defensive Tackle (1).

We do have one former Super Bowl MVP in action this week, Von Miller who is now on the Rams won the Award six years ago while leading the Denver Broncos over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl 50.

Oh yeah, the books will find all sorts of ways for you to risk your cash this week.