NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
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Week 16
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
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Seems Easy
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Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
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Time to Reload
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Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
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Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Catch 22
by Dennis Ranahan

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers return all 22 starters from last year’s Super Bowl winner.

A good thing?

I think not.

Winning a Super Bowl takes a number of fortuitous physical and mental events falling into place. It is those physiological factors that will govern how well the physical will perform.

Above or below expectations.

One factor that a Super Bowl winner has to have is the realization that without a special effort it ain’t going to happen. A fear of failure. Not a pep talk from a coach, but a gut knowledge that without giving everything you have the result is not going to be in your favor.

The Buccaneers were the underdogs in both the NFC Championship Game and Super Bowl, victoires over the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field and the Kansas City Chiefs in their home stadium.

The Buccaneers were not only the first team in National Football League history to host a Super Bowl, they took advantage of it with a decisive 31-9 triumph in Super Bowl LV.

In 2021, Tampa Bay got better as the season progressed and peaked against opponents that did not play their best. Part of the reason the Packers and Chiefs were not on top of their game was because of the physical play the Buccaneers defense brought to the encounters. A defense so daunting, that Packers Head Coach Matt LaFleur went braindead and kicked a near meaningless field goal on fourth and goal when a touchdown and two-point conversion could have sent the NFC Championship Game into overtime.

A lot of things went right for Bruce Arians Bucs last year, and the cumulative result was a Super Bowl win.

Winning it once is tough, winning back-to-back a more difficult task.

What the Buccaneers don’t have right now is the feeling that they have to play better than they did last year, a key ingredient to a focussed year of preparation for the season to come. It was such a relief to see Brady drink too much and wildly throw the Super Bowl Trophy between celebrating boats in the teams’ victory parade on water.

It can also be read that Brady is done proving things and he is ready to party.

In 2012, I was doing a radio show with broadcast partner Terry Cox, who at the time was Sports Book Manager at Reno’s, Peppermill. I referred to Brady’s age and Terry chipped in how he no longer seems to have the ability to throw the long ball.

One might in retrospect realize that we were driving nails into Tom Brady’s coffin way too soon.

But now, this season, with this team, off of last year’s triumph, is set up for a colossal collapse. They open at home against the Dallas Cowboys, a team coming off one of their worst campaigns in franchise history. Some reasons for the Cowboys collapse was that quarterback Dak Prescott was injured early in the 2020 season. Another major factor in last year’s stumble by Dallas can be pinned to the hight hopes the team came into the season under new head coach Mike McCarthy. He replaced Jason Garrett, who was a longtime favorite of Cowboys owner Jerry Jones but a coach that always seemed a brick short of taking the Cowboys all the way to a Super Bowl win.

McCarthy starts his second season with the Cowboys, and after last year’s debacle, his second might be his last if Jones’ boys don’t show dramatic improvement.

The Cowboys know they need to play their best to have a chance against the Super Bowl Champions, and the Buccaneers are good enough to take advantage of what has historically been a very good spot, the defending Super Bowl Champions hosting the opening game. Only twice has a defending champion lost this game at home straight-up, that would be the New York Giants in 2012 against the Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots against the Kansas City Chiefs six years ago.

Super Bowl winners have also done well against the point spread in the 14 games they have hosted, generating a point spread mark of 8-3-2.

While the Bucs may or may not open with a win, they are projected according to my numbers, to fall fast and far over the ensuing 16 weeks.