NFL 2025 Season - Week 15
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Article Archive

Week 15
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Same Things
by Dennis Ranahan

All that mattered late in the contest between Kansas and East Washington was a drive to the bucket by Jacob Davison. With single digits left on the game clock, Davison drove across the lane and tossed in a two-pointer. The basket cut the Kansas winning margin to nine points, 93-84. The point spread on the game was 10½ , the final hoop cutting the Kansas win to below the posted point spread.

With time ticking away, the announcer was talking about the Kansas win when East Washington inbounded the ball with time running out in the second half. “Holding a ten point lead,” he said while being one point off … a very important point. East Washington forward Jacob Davison drove through a group of unaggressive defenders and flipped in the two pointer with six-seconds to go in the game.

The TV commentator missed the moment.

For a large portion of the viewing audience, that flip by Davison was the difference between a win or loss. East Washington actually trailed by 11 points when they inbounded, and the final losing margin of nine was good enough to beat the point spread.

An announcer on the cutting edge who recognizes the interests of his audience could have seized the finish and addressed it with a lot more excitement. I’m thinking it won’t be long before announcers are more keyed in on both results, the actual winner and which team beats the point spread.

Syracuse hit their mark on Friday night, highlighted by a flurry of three-pointers that keyed a 78-62 win over San Diego State. Coach’s son Buddy Boeheim tossed in seven three pointers while tallying 30 points in the16 point victory.

Now what?

The Orange victory over San Diego St. could easily turn out to be Syracuse’s high point of the season. And on the other side of a high point is either the apex of the year or a steep drop. Today they face West Virginia and their legendary coach, Bob Huggins, who won his career 900th game in Friday’s victory over Morehead State.

I have been consistently asked in recent days the similarities with football and basketball from a handicapping perspective. For sure, they both are governed by human tendencies. Often losses are preceded by wild celebrations following upset wins, while defeats commonly inspire a team to focus more on their next game.

If Ohio State’s loss to Oral Roberts didn’t end the Buckeyes season, I would think they would be a great play in their next outing. Of course, in tournament play the motivation off a loss never gets to be utilized given the one and done format.

Another factor in all sports is that teams routinely play over their heads in the absence of a star lost to injury. It can inspire the crippled team to excel early in a contest or guide them all the way to an upset victory. If it does result in a team missing a star winning the game, they are almost always crushed in their next outing. That is because they have lost the motivational edge to compensate for the loss of a star player and are still without his skills.

We saw examples of both these scenarios in Friday’s games.

Without Moses Wright, the ACC Player of the Year, Georgia Tech jumped to an early lead against Loyola, and then faded to a double-digit loss. Villanova overcame the loss of Colliin Gillespie, who was the co-player of the year in the Big Ten, to down Winthrop before being upset by North Texas.

Oh, wait a minute, that has happened yet. Villanova meets North Texas today.

This is how we make money in both sports.