NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 16
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Public Shift
by Dennis Ranahan

A few months ago, my wife and I got intrigued by the Northern Lights being visible in our neighborhood. On the night they were predicted to be most spectacular we took our dog and drove to the park near our home where it was promoted that it would be best viewed.

We waited for a couple hours, past midnight, with a number of other would-be viewers who, like us, were disappointed.

Nothing.

There were a couple times when someone would claim they could see something, but it never was the Northern Lights we expected.

For football fans looking forward to viewing Thursday’s preseason opener between the Chicago Bears and Houston Texans, the results may be the same. That is, what you really came to see is not going to appear.

The Texans own one of the most watchable quarterbacks in the game in second year pro C.J. Stroud. He was the second overall draft choice last year and made the Carolina Panthers look like chumps for trading up to the first pick and take Bryce Young instead of Stroud.

The Panthers trade was a package deal that sent the Chicago Bears a bevy of draft choices including the first pick in last April’s allotment of college talent. The Bears used that pick to choose USC’s Calib Williams, who they figured was the best quarterback in the draft while many thought the top pick should have been LSU’s Jayden Daniels, the Heisman Trophy winner that went to the Washington Commanders with the second pick.

In all, half of the first dozen picks in this year’s NFL draft were quarterbacks. The New England Patriots took Drake Maye with the third pick, the Atlanta Falcons selected Michael Penix with the eighth pick, J.J. McCarthy went to the Minnesota Vikings with the tenth overall selection and Bo Nix was chosen by the Denver Broncos with the twelfth pick.

The rush to get quarterbacks was reminiscent of the 1983 draft when six signal callers were chosen in the first round. That year, the first player chosen was John Elway, while four other quarterbacks were selected before the Miami Dolphins took Dan Marino with their first round choice. For the record, the first and last players selected in the first round that year developed into the best quarterbacks in the draft.

So, now we have the Bears taking Williams and sending the man they chose with their first pick three years ago, Justin Fields, to the Pittsburgh Steelers for a fourth or sixth round draft choice depending on how much Fields plays this year for Mike Tomlin’s squad.

The Bears search for a franchise quarterback is a lot like the Northern Lights event Pam, Rosie and I went on in May. The search continues long after the promise of results. And if any of the other quarterbacks excel and Williams is a flop, the Bears could be looking at another situation like the selection of Mitch Trubisky while Patrick Mahomes was available in the 2017 NFL draft.

Chicago Head Coach Matt Eberflus has already declared Williams will not see any action in the Hall of Fame Game, and it is unlikely Texans Head Coach DeMeco Ryans will risk his top QB to possible injury in this opening scrimmage.

As soon as Eberflus indicated Williams would sit and Tyson Bagent would get the start on Thursday in Canton, the line shifted three points from the Bears, a 1½ point favorite, to the Texans by 1½ points.

Our early selection on Chicago in this game was not based on Williams, who we knew that if he played it would be no more than a series or two, but the overall direction and motivation of these two squads. Now, with Williams known to be out, the public has enhanced a wager on the Bears with a better point spread.