NFL 2025 Season - Week 15
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Article Archive

Week 15
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Huge Advantage
by Dennis Ranahan

Every position on the field; quarterback, runningback, linebacker, receiver, offensive lineman, kicker, punter, defensive lineman, safety and corner, all of them, have had more than one athlete win a Super Bowl for one team and then go on to another squad and win another Vince Lombardi Trophy.

You know the one position on a team that has never had a man win a Super Bowl with one team and then go on to win again with another franchise?

Head coach.

Bill Parcells won two Super Bowls with the New York Giants, got back to the big game with the New England Patriots and into the playoffs as head coach of the New York Jets, but didn’t capture a second Super Bowl after his success with the Giants. Vince Lombardi won the first two Super Bowls with the Green Bay Packers, but when he moved on to Washington he didn’t get close.

Tom Flores won a pair of Super Bowl rings as head coach of the Raiders, but didn’t have the same success when he mentored the Seattle Seahawks. George Seifert, Jimmy Johnson, Mike Ditka, Mike Holmgren, Mike Shanahan and Tom Coughlin all won Super Bowls at their initial head coaching posts but failed in future attempts with new assignments.

Today, there are three current NFL head coaches who have won Super Bowls at their initial head coaching post and are trying to lead a second team to the promiseland. Those men are Mike McCarthy, Doug Pederson and Sean Payton. McCarthy won with the Green Bay Packers to complete the 2010 season and now mentors the Dallas Cowboys. Current Denver Broncos Head Coach Sean Payton led the New Orleans Saints to a win in Super Bowl XLIV and now works the sideline with the Denver Broncos. Doug Pederson led the Philadelphia Eagles to the title six years ago and now plies his trade in Jacksonville for the Jaguars.

This year, only McCarthy of that trio working now , appears to have a solid chance to be the first to lead a team to a Super Bowl win with a second franchise. The Jaguars have won only one of their first three outings this season and the Broncos have lost all three of their 2023 games. The most recent Denver loss is notable because they allowed 70 points, the first time a team has surrendered that many since 1966 and only the third time in NFL history.

What I find interesting about these facts is that all three of these coaches, despite having a combined 3-6 straight-up record this season, are favored in tomorrow’s games. Okay, the Cowboys, who beat the Giants and Jets before being upset by the Arizona Cardinals last week, are certainly understandable as a favorite this week at home against the New England Patriots. Even the Jaguars, who have lost two straight after opening with a win over the Indianapolis Colts, perhaps deserve to be favored for their game in London against the Atlanta Falcons.

But the Broncos?

How can this underachieving squad in Payton’s first year with the team be favored? Does somebody have advance word that their scheduled opponent is not going to show up this Sunday?

No, the Broncos are favored, and the line has gone up with heavy public backing, for their game against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. A Broncos team that lost their first two games at home to the Las Vegas Raiders and Washington Commanders and then got pulverized in Miami by a 70-20 score is now favored for the third time this season and the public likes their chances?

It’s all because of Chicago.

The Bears opened this season as a favorite against their NFC North Division rival Green Bay, and lost by double-digits, 38-20. They lost by double-digits in Tampa during second week action to the Buccaneers, 27-17. Last week, they met their first quality team, and they got crushed by the Kansas City Chiefs, 41-10.

So, the public sees the Bears as something worse than a winless squad that just gave up 70 points.

Here is the formula on this one; when a team is a road favorite not because they are good but because of the perception of their opponent, the underappreciated home team has a huge advantage.

And, let’s get real, if the Bears are going to come out of hibernation and win a game, they are going to have to have a huge advantage.

They do.

Qoxhi Picks: Chicago Bears (+3½) over Denver Broncos