NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 16
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Running on Empty
by Dennis Ranahan

Have you ever been driving on the open road and even though your gas gauge indicates you are low on fuel you drive past one service station with hopes you can make it to another farther up the road?

The Cleveland Browns football team is doing something akin to that this season.

It started last May, when they sent three first round draft picks to the Houston Texans for exiled quarterback Deshaun Watson. In much the same way the Los Angeles Rams traded away their future by bringing in quarterback Matthew Stafford for success now before the start of the 2021 season, and then cashed that decision with a Super Bowl LVI victory, the Browns looked to accomplish the same goal.

The difference between the two deals was that Stafford wasn’t facing any legal problems and an almost certain suspension before he was available to play. Watson was, and when the league imposed an 11 game suspension on the recent Cleveland acquisition the Browns checked their gauges and hoped they could get through the first half of the season still in position to vie for a playoff berth when Watson was eligible to play.

So far, the results are mixed.

The Browns have one of the best rushing attacks in the game, and a defense stocked with quality athletes acquired through high draft choices based on abysmal records the team compiled for most of this century. In one two year period, 2016 and 2017, Cleveland won one game in 32 regular season decisions.

The decision to stake their future on Watson also prompted the team to jettison the quarterback they chose with the first overall selection in the 2018 draft, Baker Mayfield, to the Carolina Panthers. That move was made to clear the path for Watson to move into the starting role without any quarterback controversy.

That is all well and good, but it does put the Browns on an 11 game quest to stay in contention in the AFC North Division race before filling up their offense with the insertion of Watson. The player scheduled to be behind center for Cleveland for their first 11 games this season is Jacoby Brissett. The seven year veteran was selected in the third round of the 2016 draft by the New England Patriots. A year later, he was shipped to Indianapolis where twice in his four seasons with the Colts he was their starting quarterback.

Last year, he was a member of the team he goes up against this Sunday, the Miami Dolphins. He made five starts for the Dolphins last season and has made 45 NFL career starts with a won/loss record of 17 wins and 28 losses. This season, while he nudges the Browns to the time when Watson moves into the starting role, he has won three of his eight starts.

That 3-5 record has the Browns currently 2½ games behind the AFC North Division leading Baltimore Ravens. With only six games left in the regular season when Watson becomes available, the Browns can’t afford to fall any further behind in their race to have Watson’s insertion meaningful in 2022.

The Dolphins success this year is keyed by their young quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa. The third year signal caller was the Dolphins first round draft choice in 2020 and has won every game he has started and finished this season. But, an injury knocked him out of a contest against the Cincinnati Bengals that the Dolphins went on to lose and during his absence Miami lost games to the New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings.

Those three defeats leave the Dolphins one-half game behind the Buffalo Bills in the highly competitive AFC East Division race.

What that produces on Sunday is a pair of teams needing a win, but the Browns more desperate for a victory in their attempt to stay competitive in their division race while heading for the day when Watson takes over their quarterback role.

The combination of desperation and points is an edge worth taking.

Qoxhi Picks: Cleveland Browns (+3½) over Miami Dolphins