NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 16
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
All the Tricks
by Dennis Ranahan

It was a horrible year for quarterbacks.

The first quarterback chosen from the 2000 crop of college talent was taken by the New York Jets, they selected Chad Pennington with the 18th pick in the first round. It was two rounds and 47 selections later before the next quarterback was chosen that year. Giovanni Carmazzi was the 49ers third round choice, and the Ravens picked later in the third round to add Chris Redman to their roster.

Tee Martin was the Pittsburgh Steelers fifth round pick, and five quarterbacks were taken in the sixth round. Marc Bulger was chosen by the New Orleans Saints with the 168th pick and Spergon Wynn went to the Browns 15 picks later. The Final three sixth round picks included Todd Husak and Ja’Juan Seider who were picked by the Redskins and Cardinals respectively. Before those two selections, the New England Patriots utilized their second sixth round choice for a quarterback after taking Antwan Harris with the 187th pick. New England used the 199th pick in the 2000 draft to select Michigan Quarterback Tom Brady.

It has to be considered, without serious objection, to be the best draft pick ever. How could it not be? It acquired the best quarterback ever, maybe the best player ever, and the winningest of all time. And it came in the sixth round … with a team using their second pick in that round to select the GOAT.

Should we acknowledge the brilliance of the Patriots in picking Brady, or should we more cast doubt on the football world knowing what the heck they are doing when it comes to picking a man to lead their team from the all-important quarterback position? John Madden considered the offensive line to be the most important on the field, and Al Davis debated good-heartedly his contention that the corner was the most important position to fill on the roster.

Both agreed nothing mattered unless you had a quarterback capable of winning the Super Bowl.

In contrast to the slim pickings that generated the best quarterback ever, the 1983 draft was considered the most well stocked for topflight quarterbacks. Six would be selected in the first round, and three would go on to Hall of Fame careers. John Elway was the first player chosen, not by the Denver Broncos but the Baltimore Colts. Prior to the draft, Elway had announced he would not play football for Robert Irsay, the owner of the Colts, and if drafted by Baltimore he would opt for a baseball career with the New York Yankees. His bargaining chip had validity, Elway was a great athlete and also excelled at baseball and had already been offered a contract by the Yankees.

The Colts still opted to draft him given his immense talent while hoping he would play in Baltimore, but before the following season began, Elway was on the Broncos after the Colts blinked and traded him to Denver for Chris Hinton, Mark Herrmann and a first round draft choice. It was a deal less advantageous to the Colts than had they traded the first pick before the draft.

The Colts have by a strange string of fortune owned the first pick in the draft when the three best quarterback prospects of the last 50 years have been in the college crop. In addition to the first pick when Elway was available, the Colts also had the first pick in 1998 when Peyton Manning was on the board and, because Manning missed the 2011 season, the championship caliber Colts dropped to the worst record in the league which provided them the first pick in the 2012 draft. That was the year Andrew Luck graduated from Stanford and was the first pick in the draft … by the Colts.

Manning is in the Hall of Fame and led the Colts to the best record and a Super Bowl win in the decade he started at quarterback for the Colts, who were now headquartered in Indianapolis. Luck was on his way to a Hall of Fame career when injuries cut his success short. Still, by most accounts, the trio of Elway, Manning and Luck represent the three most certain prospects entering the pro ranks. The scouts got those right, all three were the first player taken in the draft.

Never-the-less, as evidenced by Brady being passed over multiple times by every team in the league, and guys like JaMarcus Russell and Tim Couch being taken first overall, throws shade on NFL teams ability to know what translates from a quarterback having a solid college tenure to a successful pro career. Two of the names on everyone's top ten quarterbacks of all time were third round choices, Joe Montana and Russell Wilson. Johnny Unitas was cut by the Pittsburgh Steelers before leading the Baltimore Colts to championship seasons.

Even the year Elway went first in the draft, the next five first round selections were clearly not in the order they performed at as a pro. Todd Blackledge was the second QB taken in the 1983 draft, while the player picked next in that first round, Jim Kelly, led the Buffalo Bills to four straight Super Bowls and has a bust in Canton. The next two quarterbacks taken in 1983 went to the New England Patriots and New York Jets, they chose Tony Eason and Ken O'Brien respectively.

Headed into the draft that year one of the top prospects was suspected of being involved in drugs while playing his final year at the University of Pittsburgh. That likely affected a willingness for any team other than the Miami Dolphins to make Dan Marino a first-round choice. They chose Marino with the last pick in the first round of 1983 draft.

Shortly after the draft, the rumors about negative drug experiences were cleared, and it was later revealed that the rumor was started by the Dolphins.

Don Shula used every path to success, and while the Dolphins later denied the charges concerning Marino, the circumstances handed the Dolphins the third Hall of Fame member from the 1983 class.

So, as the 2022 draft draws near, keep your ear to the ground to find out what rumors are affecting some players in the draft. You might find the source of those negative reports originate with the team looking to draft the charged.