NFL 2025 Season - Week 16
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Pair of Bills
by Dennis Ranahan

I had a friend in high school that had aspirations of being a professional tennis player.

He had no interest in spending time playing me on the court because he was looking to be challenged by someone better than him so he could improve his game. Actually drove to a nearby college campus to pick up matches against some of the kids playing on the college tennis team.

A tennis game against me was a waste of his time, my skills didn’t challenge him and he was bent on getting better over beating me whatever to love.

I have followed a similar route in looking to improve my professional goals. I really don’t care what a sports announcer thinks about an upcoming game or what a coach says of his team’s chances.

I look to the guys setting the point spreads and are skilled at separating the public from their money. I have also respected two National Football League head coaches that seem more in tune to what really matters. They are Bill Parcells and Bill Belichick.

When Parcells was coaching the New York Giants to Super Bowls, he was up against a seemingly overmatched Washington Redskins team late in the season. I had the Redskins plus what seemed to be a depressed point spread, an indicator that the guys setting the lines agreed with my underdog play.

That day, the books and myself were wrong, the Giants won and covered the point spread which the game announcers took as obvious. But, when the game ended and the Giants won, Parcells didn’t walk off the field with a stoic gate like he expected to win; at the game conclusion he threw up his right fist in a celebration befitting John Madden’s exultation at the end of Super Bowl XI.

It showed me what I had long suspected, Parcells knew when the circumstances were against his talent, while most coaches only focus on their talent and game plan. Parcells knew he won one that wasn’t as easy as the announcers thought it would be or played out on the field.

In 2006, the Tennessee Titans had a chance to earn a Wild Card berth on the final day of the regular season if they beat the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars, Cincinnati Bengals and Denver Broncos all lost. New England had already clinched a playoff berth and the top seed was out of reach with the San Diego Chargers two games ahead and assured of the AFC top spot.

The books took this into consideration by making the Titans, who were on a magical run of six consecutive wins and looking to become the first team in NFL history to earn a postseason berth after opening the season with five straight losses, the favorite over New England. All week, announcers and sports writers were focused on the game meaning something only to the Titans.

I took the Titans thinking New England would rest Tom Brady and not match the intensity of Tennessee at home.

Brady started, and had the Patriots up 19-3 in the second quarter, when Paul and I looked at each other and questioned what we had missed? It was Paul who realized that even though the Patriots couldn’t get the number one seed, if they won here and beat the Chargers and played the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Championship Game, and the Colts lost to the Miami Dolphins on the same day the Patriots were in Tennessee, then New England would host the title game.

Belichick knew it, and even though he was at press conferences that week where the media and me were oblivious to that fact, he took questions as if his playoff spot was locked in and this game didn’t matter.

It did.

In the fourth quarter, with New England leading Tennessee, the result from Indianapolis came in with Peyton Manning guiding Indianapolis to a 27-22 win over the Miami Dolphins. As soon as that score was known, Belichick told Vinny Testaverde to warm up. The veteran quarterback had been signed by New England to back-up Brady in November, and he threw his only touchdown of his career with New England that afternoon to cap the Patriots 40-23 win.

In the postgame press conference, Belichick told reporters he thought Testaverde deserved a chance to play because of all the hard work he had put in for the team. The media gobbled it up like Belichick was doing something special for the veteran on the verge of retirement, when actually, Testaverde was inserted only after the game became meaningless based on the Colts victory over Miami.

As it turned out, the Patriots did beat the Chargers in their playoff game and meet the Colts in the AFC Championship Game which, because the Colts had won their last game, was played in Indianapolis. In that game, the Patriots bolted to a 21-3 second quarter lead before Manning and company ran them down for a 38-34 triumph. That victory sent the Colts into Super Bowl XLI, which was Manning’s only Super Bowl win of his career in Indianapolis, a 29-17 decision over the Chicago Bears.

One more fact about Belichick, in 2003, his Patriots lost on opening day to the Buffalo Bills, 31-0. That same year, they closed out the regular season against each other, and New England reversed the score with a 31-0 victory. Belichick likes revenge games, and this week he is in Miami to meet a Dolphins team that downed the Patriots on opening day in Foxboro.

The Dolphins had their seven game win streak and postseason dreams ended last week with a lopsided loss in Tennessee. Who do you think is going to win this Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium?

Me too.

Qoxhi Picks: New England Patriots (-7) over Miami Dolphins

PS: My high school friend did earn a college scholarship for his tennis skills, but never played professionally and instead became a salesperson for a radio station.