Making money from National Football League results is a lot more challenging than simply picking winners. When I founded Qoxhi Picks in 1981, I knew football. What I didn’t know was how to best translate that advantage into one that generates consistent profits. The bottom line to be most successful requires a dedication to adhere to a proven money management regimen.
The first key is to make wagers on specific games based purely on the quality of the selection; not the need to win a bet.
That is the first problem gamblers stumble into when they take good picks and put them through their gambling wringer. Most gamblers wager more when they are ahead until they no longer are, and more when they are behind until they are in over their head.
No set of winning picks is going to be enough to maximize profits when the selections are haphazardly played with the book. The book has a built in advantage, typically a 10% vigorish, the price of the wager. It computes to the person making a wager to only have to win 52.38% of their wagers to break even. But that break even point requires every wager to be the same amount, and once a gambler gets a hold of a point spread proposition they find ways to leverage their largest amounts on consistent losers.
That is a second key point to transforming picks into profits.
The game the public sees as the most lopsided, the proverbial ‘sure winner,’ is exactly the pick most prone to a result guided by motivational factors. The team seemingly most in trouble has a spike in their motivation, while a team seemingly with an easy task in gaining a win is most susceptible to an off performance while their week of practice lacked the fear of failure.
John Madden used to say it outloud, “The fear of failure is the greatest motivator.”
Gamblers most often wager with money in mind, they would never risk capital on a team that they didn’t see the possibility of winning, instead loading up on their apparent victor.
Bad idea.
I have had clients who couldn’t believe that was our Top Pick of the Week. Couldn’t we give them a better team?
About 30% of the time they are proven right, that our selection wasn’t up to the task. Yet, nearly 70% of the time Qoxhi Top Picks have beaten the spread during the most recent 42 National Football League seasons.
Now, add those results to a money management regimen that grinds out consistent profits, adhere to it religiously, and in a typical NFL campaign you can raise an opening account balance between 30 and 60 percent with the Basic Strategy. Higher gains can be realized while utilizing any of four other strategies that adjust the risk versus return ratio based greatly on the success of the Top Picks.
A sixth money management method was added four years ago to the site, it is called; Triple Play. This strategy dictates a wager on the first quarter, first half and final results on the games recommended by Qoxhi. In the first year it was offered, 2019, the season generated 36% profits. The following year 39% profits and after suffering a losing campaign in 2021, came back in 2022 with 68% profits.
The Triple Play method triples the number of results that affect your bottom line on any given game day. A lot of clients like that level of excitement.
While I started with knowledge about football, the Qoxhi service has gained from people who know how to make money from point spread results. Those lessons have been entwined in the Qoxhi Account Manager, which is simply the most important tool in the game to transform wagering from a gamble to an investment.