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HEADLINE PLAY
     
Smart
By Dennis Ranahan

Ever see something in a catalog that you thought was going to be perfect only to have second thoughts once the delivery was made?

I have … I do.

Last week, I was thinking that a loss by the New England Patriots to the Miami Dolphins would create a slam dunk this Sunday in Pittsburgh. After all, the Patriots coming off a one game losing streak since Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have been working together are 15-2 when favored on the road, with a still robust 13-4 record against the point spread in those same 17 games.

If the Patriots were to lose in Miami, and they did, they would be arriving in Pittsburgh needing a win to catch the Steelers in the won/loss column and move ahead in the battle for home field advantage in the American Football Conference Playoffs based on their head-to-head win. I knew the Patriots would be in a better position to win this game if they were upset on Monday night in Miami based on two factors; they would be more focussed off a loss and if the public saw them lose on National TV they may slice a half-point or more off their road favorite role.

One out of two may be bad.


HEADLINE PLAY ARCHIVES
Smart Headline Play Week 15
All Out Headline Play Week 15
Plot Headline Play Week 15
Dear Santa Headline Play Week 14
Class Battle Headline Play Week 14
Snow and Smoke Gameday Week 14
Take 'em Headline Play Week 14
Buy and Sell Headline Play Week 14
First things First Headline Play Week 14
Into the Fire Headline Play Week 14
Lesser with Less Headline Play Week 13
Natural Middle Headline Play Week 13
Changes behind Center Gameday Week 13
Short Line Headline Play Week 13
Best Foursome Headline Play Week 13
Full Pockets Headline Play Week 13

FROM THE QOXHI PLAYBOOK

YOU KNOW THE POINT SPREAD … BUT DOES IT OFFER VALUE?

SCORE HERE


WHAT DO I GET AS A QOXHI SUBSCRIBER?

SCORE HERE


WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR IN TURNING A PROFIT WHILE WAGERING ON THE NFL?

SCORE HERE



Philadelphia Eagles 10-3
Minnesota Vikings 9-4
Jacksonville Jaguars 8-5
Carolina Panthers 8-5
New England Patriots 8-5
Los Angeles Rams 8-5
BRONCOS 25 - COLTS 13
BRONCOS WIN -3 / UNDER 41
AT

BEARS - LIONS
Saturday, December 16 - 1:30 PM
AT

CHARGERS - CHIEFS
Saturday, December 16 - 5:25 PM
AT

EAGLES - GIANTS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

PACKERS - PANTHERS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

BENGALS - VIKINGS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

DOLPHINS - BILLS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

TEXANS - JAGUARS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

JETS - SAINTS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

CARDINALS - REDSKINS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

RAVENS - BROWNS
Sunday, December 17 - 10:00 AM
AT

RAMS - SEAHAWKS
Sunday, December 17 - 1:05 PM
AT

PATRIOTS - STEELERS
Sunday, December 17 - 1:25 PM
AT

TITANS - 49ERS
Sunday, December 17 - 1:25 PM
AT

COWBOYS - RAIDERS
Sunday, December 17 - 5:30 PM
AT

FALCONS - BUCCANEERS
Monday, December 18 - 5:30 PM
AT

New England Patriots 108
New Orleans Saints 107
Minnesota Vikings 96
Los Angeles Chargers 92
Atlanta Falcons 92
Philadelphia Eagles 90
The NFL

Too Good to Air

WINNING NOT REQUESTED

Looking for Laughs

Whatever Happened to Jimmy Kimmel

Banking Two Thoughts
About Money

By Dennis Ranahan

Now, I want to be really careful how I state this and I don’t want you to get the wrong idea. So, let me state it clearly and then I respectfully ask you to read the whole article so you know what I mean.

It’s not about the money.

Okay, don’t overreact to that statement, but rather open up to the possibility of holding two thoughts at the same time; it’s not about the money and it’s all about the money.

Those two statements are not in opposition, but rather a key factor in turning sports wagering from an emotional rollercoaster to a steady-as-she-goes investment. Here’s why, the books prey on the emotions of gamblers who are quick to predictable actions that almost always leave them in the red. Why? Because gamblers wager more when they are ahead until they no longer are while thinking they are playing with “house” money. In an even worse scenario, some bet more when they are behind in an attempt to get even until they have lost much more than they ever thought they would risk.

Gamblers often base their wagers not on the strength of a point spread proposition, but rather on the success or failure of the previous result. In other words, past money wins or losses are determining current wager amounts.

That’s what I mean when I say it’s not about the money. A wager should never be about the money and only about the strength of the current point spread proposition. The amount wagered on a particular game should only be based on the value of that play … not what happened in any previous result.

When that method is followed the only thing that really matters can be realized, bottom line profits. Because, and never lose sight of this … it’s all about the money.


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