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HEADLINE PLAY
     
Shadow of Success
By Dennis Ranahan

In 2012, I was doing a radio show for an ESPN affiliate in Reno and after picking the Raiders as a favorite over the Kansas City Chiefs got an onair call from a listener. “Do you know that the underdog has won 11 straight times in games between the Raiders and Chiefs?” the caller questioned.

Now, asking me if I know something about an NFL game is like asking a rooster if he knows the sun rises in the east. Still, I respected that the caller did indeed have accurate information and acknowledged him on his grasp of history but was wondering how those stats apply to the upcoming contest scheduled for Sunday in Oakland?

“The underdog has always won,” he repeated.

“But why did the underdogs win in the previous 11 games?” I further quired.

He didn’t know.


HEADLINE PLAY ARCHIVES
Shadow of Success Headline Play Week 7
Clock Cleaning Headline Play Week 7
Life without Aaron Headline Play Week 7
Avoid at all Costs Headline Play Week 6
Dark Waters Headline Play Week 6
Smoke and Mirrors Gameday Week 6
Shovel Full Headline Play Week 6
Catch Up Headline Play Week 6
Lean In Headline Play Week 6
Bottoms Up Headline Play Week 6
Close Over Headline Play Week 6
Public Hook Headline Play Week 5
Lot to Like Headline Play Week 5
Missing QB's Gameday Week 5
Bird Perch Headline Play Week 5
Backdrop Headline Play Week 5

FROM THE QOXHI PLAYBOOK

WHAT DO I GET AS A QOXHI SUBSCRIBER?

SCORE HERE


YOU KNOW THE POINT SPREAD … BUT DOES IT OFFER VALUE?

SCORE HERE


WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR IN TURNING A PROFIT WHILE WAGERING ON THE NFL?

SCORE HERE



Kansas City Chiefs 5-2
Buffalo Bills 4-1
San Francisco 49ers 4-2
Chicago Bears 4-2
Philadelphia Eagles 4-2
New York Jets 4-2
CHIEFS 30 - RAIDERS 31
RAIDERS WIN +3 / OVER 46.5
AT

TITANS - BROWNS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

JAGUARS - COLTS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

BENGALS - STEELERS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

RAVENS - VIKINGS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

JETS - DOLPHINS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

BUCCANEERS - BILLS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

PANTHERS - BEARS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

SAINTS - PACKERS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

CARDINALS - RAMS
Sunday, October 22 - 10:00 AM
AT

COWBOYS - 49ERS
Sunday, October 22 - 1:05 PM
AT

SEAHAWKS - GIANTS
Sunday, October 22 - 1:25 PM
AT

BRONCOS - CHARGERS
Sunday, October 22 - 1:25 PM
AT

FALCONS - PATRIOTS
Sunday, October 22 - 5:30 PM
AT

REDSKINS - EAGLES
Monday, October 23 - 5:30 PM
AT

New Orleans Saints 99
Atlanta Falcons 97
New England Patriots 97
Denver Broncos 90
Kansas City Chiefs 90
Seattle Seahawks 83
The NFL

Too Good to Air

WINNING NOT REQUESTED

Looking for Laughs

Whatever Happened to Jimmy Kimmel

Banking Two Thoughts
About Money

By Dennis Ranahan

Now, I want to be really careful how I state this and I don’t want you to get the wrong idea. So, let me state it clearly and then I respectfully ask you to read the whole article so you know what I mean.

It’s not about the money.

Okay, don’t overreact to that statement, but rather open up to the possibility of holding two thoughts at the same time; it’s not about the money and it’s all about the money.

Those two statements are not in opposition, but rather a key factor in turning sports wagering from an emotional rollercoaster to a steady-as-she-goes investment. Here’s why, the books prey on the emotions of gamblers who are quick to predictable actions that almost always leave them in the red. Why? Because gamblers wager more when they are ahead until they no longer are while thinking they are playing with “house” money. In an even worse scenario, some bet more when they are behind in an attempt to get even until they have lost much more than they ever thought they would risk.

Gamblers often base their wagers not on the strength of a point spread proposition, but rather on the success or failure of the previous result. In other words, past money wins or losses are determining current wager amounts.

That’s what I mean when I say it’s not about the money. A wager should never be about the money and only about the strength of the current point spread proposition. The amount wagered on a particular game should only be based on the value of that play … not what happened in any previous result.

When that method is followed the only thing that really matters can be realized, bottom line profits. Because, and never lose sight of this … it’s all about the money.


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