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HEADLINE PLAY
     
Learning Curve
By Dennis Ranahan

At the luncheon I was at today I did a lot more more listening than talking.

This time of the year I get to sit in on meetings with people that really know football. Some of the conversation today was about the recent 6-3 Supreme Court decision, the vote that struck down a 1992 law that prevented any state to offer single game sports wagering except Nevada.

Thirty-two states will have legal gambling in ten years, a handful already have legislation in the pipeline to allow gambling in their state. But, as Bard van Pelt so brilliantly articulated on ESPN the night of the court’s decision, “Those that want to bet are already doing it with offshore accounts or through a guy they know.”

While at our gathering today what effect expanded legal gambling will have on the NFL was briefly discussed, the meat of this lunchtime conversation was focused on the prospects of the 32 National Football League teams. It is at meetings like this that people in the know are revealing the direction of the teams based on rosters and recent draft choices that have not yet been reflected in the standings.

The prospects of the Los Angeles Chargers seem bright by most accounts, and a couple of the participants cast doubts on the direction of the highly thought of Pittsburgh Steelers. It seemed unanimous at the table that the Arizona Cardinals were headed into a disappointing season.


HEADLINE PLAY ARCHIVES
Learning Curve Headline Play Offseason
Exception Rule Gameday Offseason
Exception Rule Headline Play Offseason
Surge Fallout Headline Play Offseason
Up is Down Headline Play Offseason
Shelf Life Headline Play Offseason
Too Steep Headline Play Superbowl
What I Want Headline Play Conference Championships
On Defense Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Role Playing Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Happy Alone Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Luck Lands Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Wild Card Deal Headline Play Wild Card Weekend
Clearer and Clearer Headline Play Wild Card Weekend
The Best for Last Gameday Week 17
Step Ahead Headline Play Week 17

FROM THE QOXHI PLAYBOOK

WHAT DO I GET AS A QOXHI SUBSCRIBER?

SCORE HERE


WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR IN TURNING A PROFIT WHILE WAGERING ON THE NFL?

SCORE HERE


YOU KNOW THE POINT SPREAD … BUT DOES IT OFFER VALUE?

SCORE HERE



San Francisco 49ers 0-0
Chicago Bears 0-0
Cincinnati Bengals 0-0
Buffalo Bills 0-0
Denver Broncos 0-0
Cleveland Browns 0-0
EAGLES - 49ERS
Monday, February 12 - 11:42 AM
AT

San Francisco 49ers 0
Chicago Bears 0
Cincinnati Bengals 0
Buffalo Bills 0
Denver Broncos 0
Cleveland Browns 0
The NFL

Too Good to Air

WINNING NOT REQUESTED

Looking for Laughs

Whatever Happened to Jimmy Kimmel

Banking Two Thoughts
About Money

By Dennis Ranahan

Now, I want to be really careful how I state this and I don’t want you to get the wrong idea. So, let me state it clearly and then I respectfully ask you to read the whole article so you know what I mean.

It’s not about the money.

Okay, don’t overreact to that statement, but rather open up to the possibility of holding two thoughts at the same time; it’s not about the money and it’s all about the money.

Those two statements are not in opposition, but rather a key factor in turning sports wagering from an emotional rollercoaster to a steady-as-she-goes investment. Here’s why, the books prey on the emotions of gamblers who are quick to predictable actions that almost always leave them in the red. Why? Because gamblers wager more when they are ahead until they no longer are while thinking they are playing with “house” money. In an even worse scenario, some bet more when they are behind in an attempt to get even until they have lost much more than they ever thought they would risk.

Gamblers often base their wagers not on the strength of a point spread proposition, but rather on the success or failure of the previous result. In other words, past money wins or losses are determining current wager amounts.

That’s what I mean when I say it’s not about the money. A wager should never be about the money and only about the strength of the current point spread proposition. The amount wagered on a particular game should only be based on the value of that play … not what happened in any previous result.

When that method is followed the only thing that really matters can be realized, bottom line profits. Because, and never lose sight of this … it’s all about the money.


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