Despite the severe weather that has ravaged parts of the United States in recent days, the National Football League has again avoided any extreme conditions. The eleven outdoor venues today have mostly mild conditions, even in Green Bay tonight, where the Packers host the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field, temperatures will be in the mid thirties with clear skies.
We have our first Premium Top Pick of the season today.
It has been my experience that the best plays are not only those that fit an already established pattern, but a matchup that adds unique reasons for being the right side. We have one of those games today, a matchup in Florida that has one team poised to excel against an opponent in a horribly soft position.
Last week, in a game that still has one wondering how that happened, the New England Patriots staged an offense that served up three pass attempts all night and won the game by four points. Twice in the fourth quarter the Buffalo Bills drove inside the ten yard line and failed to tally a point.
The loss drops the Bills one-and-one-half games back of the Patriots in the AFC East Division. A number of unique factors combined to beat the Bills last Monday night, the wind gusts as much to credit for stopping the Bills attack as the Patriots stout defense. Quarterback Josh Allen had a number of open receivers missed as his passes were thrown off course by nature, and the Patriots inspired defense closed the door on their chances.
The defeat no doubt deflates the Bills lofty preseason suggestions that they were a prime Super Bowl candidate. Now, more than a game back in their division race with five games left to play, the Bills are confronting a harsh reality.
A great time for maximum effort.
Buffalo goes from the confines of a blustery night in Buffalo to a serene Miami afternoon with temperatures in the 80’s … and only soft southern breezes to contend with.
While the Buccaneers have been among the best at stopping the run all season, their defensive backfield has been a bit of a liability. Their vulnerable pass defense is a perfect target for a motivated quarterback looking to atone for last week’s disappointment.
While the Bills are struggling to keep pace with the streaking Patriots, the Buccaneers have a nearly insurmountable lead of four games in the NFC South Division. Last week, the Buccaneers handed the Atlanta Falcons a defeat for the second time this season, and the Falcons, along with the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints, have win/loss records of 5-7. The division leading Buccaneers are 9-3 in defense of their Super Bowl LV title.
All the elements I’m looking for, along with some unique factors, qualify today’s play on the Bills to be the best so far this season, an 8 money rated game.
As for the public, their three favorite plays of the week are the Los Angeles Chargers (-9½) over the New York Giants; Tennessee Titans (-8) over the Jacksonville Jaguars; Seattle Seahawks (-8½) over Houston Texans.
Our eight rated Premium Top Pick and two other Week 14 money rated games are now posted on this site. If a Bullet Play develops in the final hour before the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added to the play list by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.