The Chicago Bears are in the later stages of struggling through a predictable tough season after winning the NFC North Division last year following four straight last place finishes. There are a lot of reasons a team not experienced at winning is going to have problems coming off a championship campaign.
Their success was gained when the team was pushing off of trying to end years of disappointing campaigns, which can add to a teams’ motivation on a season-to-season basis. For a team like Chicago, expectations were also way out of whack entering the 2019 campaign based on their breakthrough success last year.
The Bears have paid the prices for last year’s division win, and are now left with only a talented roster looking to gain some revenge on this disappointing season.
Enter the Green Bay Packers, who are playing their first season under head coach Matt LaFleur and have held at least a share of first place in the NFC North since they beat the Bears on the opening Thursday night contest. The Packers success this season is based on pushing off back-to-back losing years after McCarthy had guided Green Bay to eight straight playoff appearances, five division titles and a victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Super Bowl XLV.
The Packers success this season has been greatly pinned to the leadership on the field of quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who never truly overcame an opening day injury in 2018. Yet, the success of Green Bay holding the best record in their division, with a 10-3 won/loss record, has been achieved while the Packers have won a lot of real close games.
In fact, the second place Vikings, who have a 9 and 4 mark, have outscored their opponents by 90 points this season, while the Packers winning record has been achieved while only outscoring their opponents by 39 points.
What can be deduced from this stat is that the Packers have a great winning tradition and the ability to close out the competitive games in their favor.
That is a good thing, unless you are laying points that don’t match the winning margin. Last week, at home, the Packers were double-digit favorites over the Washington Redskins, and only clipped their opponent by five points, 20-15.
Because the Bears have had a down year, they can benefit from more generous point spreads, while the Packers narrow wins have twice resulted in point spread losses.
Okay, what do we have here?
We’ve got a Chicago team that is not going to return to the playoffs this year, but now, on Sunday, has something to play for … to mess with the Packers postseason plans. The Bears rocky 2019 started with a home loss to Green Bay, but this week they are going to get some revenge on both their season and against their most hated division rival with an upset win at Lambeau Field.
The Bears have all the motivation they need to win this game, and a generous point spread that adds value to a wager even if the Packers continue their season long pattern of winning close.
Qoxhi Picks: Chicago Bears (+4) over Green Bay Packers