Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. Last year, he was something very special in his second pro season and first as a full time starter. He led the Chiefs to the best record in the AFC and with a furious fourth quarter rally had them leading in the AFC Championship Game before overtime sent Tom Brady and his New England Patriots back to the Super Bowl.
Mahomes success is reminiscent of the splash Dan Marino made in his early career with the Miami Dolphins. In 1984, Marino’s second professional season, he was the first quarterback in NFL history to eclipse 5,000 yards passing. Last year, Mahomes became the seventh quarterback to reach that goal, throwing for 5,097 yards.
It was Marino’s second season that he guided the Dolphins to the Super Bowl, a loss to the San Francisco 49ers, in his only appearance in the final leg for the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Marino not winning a Super Bowl ring is one of the true injustices in sports history, he certainly played like a Super Bowl winning QB.
Despite Mahomes sparkling season last year, he didn’t get the Chiefs over the postseason hump. They haven’t been back to a Super Bowl since they won it to complete the 1969 season.
Tonight, Mahomes looks to bounce back from a poor performance in Pittsburgh last week and get Kansas City their second preseason win, and more importantly, offer more confidence that he can back up his record breaking 2018 season with another big effort.
The 49ers have won both their preseason games, victories gained over the Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos in come-from-behind fashion.
Few things are less important than comebacks in the preseason. The concern for a quality team has to be more focused on their starters not building a lead than the consolation that athletes unlikely to be on the final 53-man roster were able to comeback from a deficit against other marginal NFL athletes.
The 49ers late success with backups is why the point spread on tonight’s game at Arrowhead Stadium only favors the home standing Chiefs by four points. It is worth noting that the point spread on the first half of this game has Kansas City listed as a 5 point favorite. In other words, the smart guys setting the line on this game see a bigger vulnerability for San Francisco when the starters are playing in the first half, than when the backups battle in the second half.
This is a perfect spot to take advantage of the Triple Play wagering method, which calls for a first quarter, halftime, and final score bet. If my numbers are right, the Chiefs will get off to a good start tonight as Mahomes looks to rebound from his subpar effort at Heinz Field last week.
Because the Chiefs come into this game at home off a loss, and the 49ers are looking to extend a two game winning streak off a short week on the road, they played in Denver on Monday night, Kansas City builds up edges that should clear the point spread in both the first half and final score.
Qoxhi Picks: Kansas City Chiefs (-4) over San Francisco 49ers